Pierre Poilievre secured an 87.4% endorsement from Conservative Party delegates in the mandatory January 2026 leadership review following the 2025 federal election loss, establishing firm control under party constitutional rules. Through mid-2026, caucus support has remained stable despite isolated MP defections and internal criticism of strategy and regional results, with no formal challenge mechanism advancing. The next scheduled convention or review falls outside the December 31, 2026 resolution window, and public polling trends showing Liberal leads have not prompted organized internal pressure capable of forcing a change. This stability underpins the trader consensus reflected in the high “No” probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว14% โอกาส
$157,181 ปริมาณ
$157,181 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
14% โอกาส
$157,181 ปริมาณ
$157,181 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pierre Poilievre secured an 87.4% endorsement from Conservative Party delegates in the mandatory January 2026 leadership review following the 2025 federal election loss, establishing firm control under party constitutional rules. Through mid-2026, caucus support has remained stable despite isolated MP defections and internal criticism of strategy and regional results, with no formal challenge mechanism advancing. The next scheduled convention or review falls outside the December 31, 2026 resolution window, and public polling trends showing Liberal leads have not prompted organized internal pressure capable of forcing a change. This stability underpins the trader consensus reflected in the high “No” probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$157,181วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pierre Poilievre secured an 87.4% endorsement from Conservative Party delegates in the mandatory January 2026 leadership review following the 2025 federal election loss, establishing firm control under party constitutional rules. Through mid-2026, caucus support has remained stable despite isolated MP defections and internal criticism of strategy and regional results, with no formal challenge mechanism advancing. The next scheduled convention or review falls outside the December 31, 2026 resolution window, and public polling trends showing Liberal leads have not prompted organized internal pressure capable of forcing a change. This stability underpins the trader consensus reflected in the high “No” probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$157,181วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pierre Poilievre secured an 87.4% endorsement from Conservative Party delegates in the mandatory January 2026 leadership review following the 2025 federal election loss, establishing firm control under party constitutional rules. Through mid-2026, caucus support has remained stable despite isolated MP defections and internal criticism of strategy and regional results, with no formal challenge mechanism advancing. The next scheduled convention or review falls outside the December 31, 2026 resolution window, and public polling trends showing Liberal leads have not prompted organized internal pressure capable of forcing a change. This stability underpins the trader consensus reflected in the high “No” probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย