The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, vacated by Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has produced Republican primary frontrunners Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith advancing to a June 23 runoff after the June 9 vote. The district’s Republican tilt—reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 13-point 2024 margin—anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 67.5 percent implied probability. Democratic runoff contenders Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford face structural headwinds in a Lowcountry seat that has returned Republican majorities in most recent cycles despite occasional competitiveness. Early 2025 polling showed tighter hypothetical matchups, yet the district’s partisan baseline and primary field have since reinforced Republican positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-01 House Election Winner
SC-01 House Election Winner
$42,790 ปริมาณ
$42,790 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
25%
$42,790 ปริมาณ
$42,790 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,209 ปริมาณ
75%
Democratic Party
$32,580 ปริมาณ
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, vacated by Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has produced Republican primary frontrunners Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith advancing to a June 23 runoff after the June 9 vote. The district’s Republican tilt—reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 13-point 2024 margin—anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 67.5 percent implied probability. Democratic runoff contenders Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford face structural headwinds in a Lowcountry seat that has returned Republican majorities in most recent cycles despite occasional competitiveness. Early 2025 polling showed tighter hypothetical matchups, yet the district’s partisan baseline and primary field have since reinforced Republican positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,790วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, vacated by Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has produced Republican primary frontrunners Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith advancing to a June 23 runoff after the June 9 vote. The district’s Republican tilt—reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 13-point 2024 margin—anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 67.5 percent implied probability. Democratic runoff contenders Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford face structural headwinds in a Lowcountry seat that has returned Republican majorities in most recent cycles despite occasional competitiveness. Early 2025 polling showed tighter hypothetical matchups, yet the district’s partisan baseline and primary field have since reinforced Republican positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,790วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, vacated by Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has produced Republican primary frontrunners Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith advancing to a June 23 runoff after the June 9 vote. The district’s Republican tilt—reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 13-point 2024 margin—anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 67.5 percent implied probability. Democratic runoff contenders Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford face structural headwinds in a Lowcountry seat that has returned Republican majorities in most recent cycles despite occasional competitiveness. Early 2025 polling showed tighter hypothetical matchups, yet the district’s partisan baseline and primary field have since reinforced Republican positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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