Switzerland's June 14 referendum presents voters with two distinct measures under the country's direct democracy framework. The "No to a Switzerland with 10 million" popular initiative, sponsored by the Swiss People's Party, seeks a constitutional cap on permanent residents at 10 million by 2050, with automatic curbs on immigration, asylum rules, and family reunification once the population reaches 9.5 million. Current figures stand near 9.1 million, driven largely by labor-market inflows since bilateral agreements with the EU took effect. The Federal Council opposes the measure, citing risks to EU free-movement accords, skilled-worker shortages, and economic growth. The second item amends the Civilian Service Act to tighten eligibility for alternative service by conscientious objectors. Recent polling indicates the population-cap initiative remains closely divided, while the civil-service reform holds broader support ahead of the nationwide vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSwitzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?
$103,391 ปริมาณ
Civilian Service Act
76%
No to ten million Switzerland
36%
$103,391 ปริมาณ
Civilian Service Act
76%
No to ten million Switzerland
36%
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Switzerland's June 14 referendum presents voters with two distinct measures under the country's direct democracy framework. The "No to a Switzerland with 10 million" popular initiative, sponsored by the Swiss People's Party, seeks a constitutional cap on permanent residents at 10 million by 2050, with automatic curbs on immigration, asylum rules, and family reunification once the population reaches 9.5 million. Current figures stand near 9.1 million, driven largely by labor-market inflows since bilateral agreements with the EU took effect. The Federal Council opposes the measure, citing risks to EU free-movement accords, skilled-worker shortages, and economic growth. The second item amends the Civilian Service Act to tighten eligibility for alternative service by conscientious objectors. Recent polling indicates the population-cap initiative remains closely divided, while the civil-service reform holds broader support ahead of the nationwide vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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