Michigan's automatic constitutional convention question, Proposal 1 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, shows trader consensus leaning slightly to "No" at 54.5%, driven by historical precedent of strong voter rejections—75% No in 1978, 69% in 1994, and 68% in 2010—and recent coalitions of business, labor, and democracy groups opposing it over fears of unlimited delegate authority enabling special interests to undermine enshrined rights like abortion access or labor protections. The close contest reflects counterarguments for overhauling the 1963 constitution, amended more than 50 times through single-issue ballot proposals, amid low public awareness. Odds could shift with first polls, major endorsements, ad campaigns, or turnout surges from competitive U.S. House races and other ballot measures like citizens-only voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan's automatic constitutional convention question, Proposal 1 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, shows trader consensus leaning slightly to "No" at 54.5%, driven by historical precedent of strong voter rejections—75% No in 1978, 69% in 1994, and 68% in 2010—and recent coalitions of business, labor, and democracy groups opposing it over fears of unlimited delegate authority enabling special interests to undermine enshrined rights like abortion access or labor protections. The close contest reflects counterarguments for overhauling the 1963 constitution, amended more than 50 times through single-issue ballot proposals, amid low public awareness. Odds could shift with first polls, major endorsements, ad campaigns, or turnout surges from competitive U.S. House races and other ballot measures like citizens-only voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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