Traders assign roughly even odds near 50% to numerous labs for third-best AI agent status by late October, reflecting a fragmented field where no single player holds decisive leads in agentic reasoning, tool use, or production deployments. Moonshot’s July Kimi K3 release, which benchmarked competitively with top U.S. models on multimodal workflows, has boosted Chinese labs including DeepSeek and MiniMax, while earlier distillation concerns from Anthropic highlight ongoing capability catch-up. OpenAI’s March Agents SDK and Anthropic’s Claude Agent SDK both deliver strong hierarchical multi-agent support and sandboxing, yet Google’s ADK 2.0 and Microsoft’s unified framework add enterprise momentum. The tight pricing underscores how quickly new model drops, framework updates, and third-party evaluations can shift relative positioning before October resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMeituan 43%
Moonshot 32%
OpenAI 30%
Z.ai 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
Meituan
43%
Moonshot
32%
OpenAI
30%
Z.ai
25%
Meta
23%
Mistral
23%
SpaceXAI
22%
Alibaba
22%
22%
DeepSeek
22%
MiniMax
22%
Nvidia
22%
Baidu
22%
Xiaomi
22%
ByteDance
22%
Amazon
22%
Microsoft
22%
Anthropic
11%
Meituan 43%
Moonshot 32%
OpenAI 30%
Z.ai 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
Meituan
$27 ปริมาณ
43%
Moonshot
$37 ปริมาณ
32%
OpenAI
$27 ปริมาณ
30%
Z.ai
$27 ปริมาณ
25%
Meta
$32 ปริมาณ
23%
Mistral
$32 ปริมาณ
23%
SpaceXAI
$27 ปริมาณ
22%
Alibaba
$27 ปริมาณ
22%
$27 ปริมาณ
22%
DeepSeek
$27 ปริมาณ
22%
MiniMax
$27 ปริมาณ
22%
Nvidia
$27 ปริมาณ
22%
Baidu
$27 ปริมาณ
22%
Xiaomi
$27 ปริมาณ
22%
ByteDance
$27 ปริมาณ
22%
Amazon
$27 ปริมาณ
22%
Microsoft
$27 ปริมาณ
22%
Anthropic
$47 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign roughly even odds near 50% to numerous labs for third-best AI agent status by late October, reflecting a fragmented field where no single player holds decisive leads in agentic reasoning, tool use, or production deployments. Moonshot’s July Kimi K3 release, which benchmarked competitively with top U.S. models on multimodal workflows, has boosted Chinese labs including DeepSeek and MiniMax, while earlier distillation concerns from Anthropic highlight ongoing capability catch-up. OpenAI’s March Agents SDK and Anthropic’s Claude Agent SDK both deliver strong hierarchical multi-agent support and sandboxing, yet Google’s ADK 2.0 and Microsoft’s unified framework add enterprise momentum. The tight pricing underscores how quickly new model drops, framework updates, and third-party evaluations can shift relative positioning before October resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$526วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign roughly even odds near 50% to numerous labs for third-best AI agent status by late October, reflecting a fragmented field where no single player holds decisive leads in agentic reasoning, tool use, or production deployments. Moonshot’s July Kimi K3 release, which benchmarked competitively with top U.S. models on multimodal workflows, has boosted Chinese labs including DeepSeek and MiniMax, while earlier distillation concerns from Anthropic highlight ongoing capability catch-up. OpenAI’s March Agents SDK and Anthropic’s Claude Agent SDK both deliver strong hierarchical multi-agent support and sandboxing, yet Google’s ADK 2.0 and Microsoft’s unified framework add enterprise momentum. The tight pricing underscores how quickly new model drops, framework updates, and third-party evaluations can shift relative positioning before October resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$526วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign roughly even odds near 50% to numerous labs for third-best AI agent status by late October, reflecting a fragmented field where no single player holds decisive leads in agentic reasoning, tool use, or production deployments. Moonshot’s July Kimi K3 release, which benchmarked competitively with top U.S. models on multimodal workflows, has boosted Chinese labs including DeepSeek and MiniMax, while earlier distillation concerns from Anthropic highlight ongoing capability catch-up. OpenAI’s March Agents SDK and Anthropic’s Claude Agent SDK both deliver strong hierarchical multi-agent support and sandboxing, yet Google’s ADK 2.0 and Microsoft’s unified framework add enterprise momentum. The tight pricing underscores how quickly new model drops, framework updates, and third-party evaluations can shift relative positioning before October resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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