Redistricting last summer consolidated two longtime Houston Democratic seats into Texas' 18th Congressional District, forcing sitting U.S. Reps. Christian Menefee and Al Green into a May 26 runoff after neither topped 50 percent in the March 3 primary. Recent University of Houston polling shows Menefee ahead by seven points among likely voters, reflecting his stronger performance in the initial round and support from newer progressive constituencies in the redrawn lines. Both candidates align on key issues such as voting-rights legislation following recent Supreme Court developments, yet Menefee's edge in name recognition and fundraising has shaped trader consensus around his nomination in this reliably Democratic district. The outcome remains subject to turnout shifts before the runoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChristian Menefee 89.3%
Al Green 10.5%
Gretchen Brown <1%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$27,959 ปริมาณ
$27,959 ปริมาณ
Christian Menefee
89%
Al Green
11%
Gretchen Brown
<1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
Christian Menefee 89.3%
Al Green 10.5%
Gretchen Brown <1%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$27,959 ปริมาณ
$27,959 ปริมาณ
Christian Menefee
89%
Al Green
11%
Gretchen Brown
<1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting last summer consolidated two longtime Houston Democratic seats into Texas' 18th Congressional District, forcing sitting U.S. Reps. Christian Menefee and Al Green into a May 26 runoff after neither topped 50 percent in the March 3 primary. Recent University of Houston polling shows Menefee ahead by seven points among likely voters, reflecting his stronger performance in the initial round and support from newer progressive constituencies in the redrawn lines. Both candidates align on key issues such as voting-rights legislation following recent Supreme Court developments, yet Menefee's edge in name recognition and fundraising has shaped trader consensus around his nomination in this reliably Democratic district. The outcome remains subject to turnout shifts before the runoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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