Trader consensus favors Pennsylvania state Rep. Chris Rabb at 54% implied probability to win the PA-03 Democratic primary on May 19, reflecting recent internal polls—including one from Street backers Philadelphia Democrats and another by the Democratic City Commission—showing him leading with State Sen. Sharif Street trailing amid significant undecided voters. Rabb's surge stems from superior Q1 fundraising, progressive endorsements from Justice Democrats, DSA, and the Philadelphia Inquirer editorial board, plus national figures like Reps. Ilhan Omar and Pramila Jayapal. Street maintains 42% on labor union support from building trades and party establishment ties, including indirect aid from Gov. Josh Shapiro urging anti-Rabb coordination. Dr. Ala Stanford's 5% share has eroded amid debate controversies on Gaza and trans issues, positioning the race as a progressive-establishment clash in the open seat left by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChris Rabb 54.6%
Sharif Street 42%
Ala Stanford 4.6%
David Oxman <1%
$46,682 ปริมาณ
$46,682 ปริมาณ
Chris Rabb
55%
Sharif Street
42%
Ala Stanford
5%
David Oxman
<1%
Morgan Cephas
<1%
Gabriel Caceres
<1%
Robin Toldens
<1%
Chris Rabb 54.6%
Sharif Street 42%
Ala Stanford 4.6%
David Oxman <1%
$46,682 ปริมาณ
$46,682 ปริมาณ
Chris Rabb
55%
Sharif Street
42%
Ala Stanford
5%
David Oxman
<1%
Morgan Cephas
<1%
Gabriel Caceres
<1%
Robin Toldens
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Pennsylvania state Rep. Chris Rabb at 54% implied probability to win the PA-03 Democratic primary on May 19, reflecting recent internal polls—including one from Street backers Philadelphia Democrats and another by the Democratic City Commission—showing him leading with State Sen. Sharif Street trailing amid significant undecided voters. Rabb's surge stems from superior Q1 fundraising, progressive endorsements from Justice Democrats, DSA, and the Philadelphia Inquirer editorial board, plus national figures like Reps. Ilhan Omar and Pramila Jayapal. Street maintains 42% on labor union support from building trades and party establishment ties, including indirect aid from Gov. Josh Shapiro urging anti-Rabb coordination. Dr. Ala Stanford's 5% share has eroded amid debate controversies on Gaza and trans issues, positioning the race as a progressive-establishment clash in the open seat left by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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