Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69.5% to win Texas's 23rd Congressional District House seat in November 2026, driven by the district's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and Donald Trump's 53%-45% margin there in 2024. GOP nominee Brandon Herrera, a gun rights activist who advanced after incumbent Tony Gonzales dropped out of the May runoff and resigned April 14 amid a personal scandal, benefits from a Trump endorsement, GOP leadership support, and superior fundraising with over $1.5 million raised versus Democrat Katy Padilla Stout's $238,000. Early March Public Policy Polling surveys showed a tight race (Herrera +2), but traders weigh the partisan lean, historical GOP dominance, and resource advantages amid House Republicans' slim majority, with no special election called for the vacancy.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-23 House Election Winner
TX-23 House Election Winner
$16,578 ปริมาณ
$16,578 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
26%
$16,578 ปริมาณ
$16,578 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,335 ปริมาณ
70%
Democratic Party
$7,243 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69.5% to win Texas's 23rd Congressional District House seat in November 2026, driven by the district's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and Donald Trump's 53%-45% margin there in 2024. GOP nominee Brandon Herrera, a gun rights activist who advanced after incumbent Tony Gonzales dropped out of the May runoff and resigned April 14 amid a personal scandal, benefits from a Trump endorsement, GOP leadership support, and superior fundraising with over $1.5 million raised versus Democrat Katy Padilla Stout's $238,000. Early March Public Policy Polling surveys showed a tight race (Herrera +2), but traders weigh the partisan lean, historical GOP dominance, and resource advantages amid House Republicans' slim majority, with no special election called for the vacancy.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,578วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69.5% to win Texas's 23rd Congressional District House seat in November 2026, driven by the district's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and Donald Trump's 53%-45% margin there in 2024. GOP nominee Brandon Herrera, a gun rights activist who advanced after incumbent Tony Gonzales dropped out of the May runoff and resigned April 14 amid a personal scandal, benefits from a Trump endorsement, GOP leadership support, and superior fundraising with over $1.5 million raised versus Democrat Katy Padilla Stout's $238,000. Early March Public Policy Polling surveys showed a tight race (Herrera +2), but traders weigh the partisan lean, historical GOP dominance, and resource advantages amid House Republicans' slim majority, with no special election called for the vacancy.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,578วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69.5% to win Texas's 23rd Congressional District House seat in November 2026, driven by the district's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and Donald Trump's 53%-45% margin there in 2024. GOP nominee Brandon Herrera, a gun rights activist who advanced after incumbent Tony Gonzales dropped out of the May runoff and resigned April 14 amid a personal scandal, benefits from a Trump endorsement, GOP leadership support, and superior fundraising with over $1.5 million raised versus Democrat Katy Padilla Stout's $238,000. Early March Public Policy Polling surveys showed a tight race (Herrera +2), but traders weigh the partisan lean, historical GOP dominance, and resource advantages amid House Republicans' slim majority, with no special election called for the vacancy.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย