The TX-38 contest centers on an open Houston-area suburban seat vacated by Republican Wesley Hunt, who pursued a U.S. Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results showing Republican margins above 20 points. These structural factors, combined with the nominee’s primary performance and fundraising edge, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. No major developments since the May runoff have altered the race’s fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$24,301 ปริมาณ
$24,301 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
12%
$24,301 ปริมาณ
$24,301 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$16,430 ปริมาณ
89%
Democratic Party
$7,871 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-38 contest centers on an open Houston-area suburban seat vacated by Republican Wesley Hunt, who pursued a U.S. Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results showing Republican margins above 20 points. These structural factors, combined with the nominee’s primary performance and fundraising edge, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. No major developments since the May runoff have altered the race’s fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,301วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-38 contest centers on an open Houston-area suburban seat vacated by Republican Wesley Hunt, who pursued a U.S. Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results showing Republican margins above 20 points. These structural factors, combined with the nominee’s primary performance and fundraising edge, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. No major developments since the May runoff have altered the race’s fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,301วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-38 contest centers on an open Houston-area suburban seat vacated by Republican Wesley Hunt, who pursued a U.S. Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results showing Republican margins above 20 points. These structural factors, combined with the nominee’s primary performance and fundraising edge, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. No major developments since the May runoff have altered the race’s fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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