US military strikes have targeted suspected drug-trafficking vessels in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific since late 2025, with some incidents involving Colombian-linked boats and resulting in civilian casualties. Following the January 2026 US operation that removed Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro, President Trump publicly suggested possible action inside Colombia and criticized President Gustavo Petro over cocaine production, prompting Bogotá to heighten border security and express concerns about sovereignty. Tensions eased after a January phone call and February White House meeting, where the leaders agreed on joint intelligence and military operations against narco-bosses, leading to Colombian strikes on guerrilla groups. With Colombia’s presidential election scheduled for late May 2026, any shift in Bogotá’s counternarcotics stance or renewed US pressure on migration and tariffs could alter bilateral dynamics. Trader assessments reflect these de-escalation signals alongside persistent drug-flow concerns and the absence of confirmed land strikes to date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯโจมตีโคลอมเบียโดย...?
สหรัฐฯโจมตีโคลอมเบียโดย...?
$2,056,793 ปริมาณ
Jan 31, 2026
31 ธันวาคม
18%
$2,056,793 ปริมาณ
31 ธันวาคม
$979,578 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.US military strikes have targeted suspected drug-trafficking vessels in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific since late 2025, with some incidents involving Colombian-linked boats and resulting in civilian casualties. Following the January 2026 US operation that removed Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro, President Trump publicly suggested possible action inside Colombia and criticized President Gustavo Petro over cocaine production, prompting Bogotá to heighten border security and express concerns about sovereignty. Tensions eased after a January phone call and February White House meeting, where the leaders agreed on joint intelligence and military operations against narco-bosses, leading to Colombian strikes on guerrilla groups. With Colombia’s presidential election scheduled for late May 2026, any shift in Bogotá’s counternarcotics stance or renewed US pressure on migration and tariffs could alter bilateral dynamics. Trader assessments reflect these de-escalation signals alongside persistent drug-flow concerns and the absence of confirmed land strikes to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,056,793วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.US military strikes have targeted suspected drug-trafficking vessels in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific since late 2025, with some incidents involving Colombian-linked boats and resulting in civilian casualties. Following the January 2026 US operation that removed Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro, President Trump publicly suggested possible action inside Colombia and criticized President Gustavo Petro over cocaine production, prompting Bogotá to heighten border security and express concerns about sovereignty. Tensions eased after a January phone call and February White House meeting, where the leaders agreed on joint intelligence and military operations against narco-bosses, leading to Colombian strikes on guerrilla groups. With Colombia’s presidential election scheduled for late May 2026, any shift in Bogotá’s counternarcotics stance or renewed US pressure on migration and tariffs could alter bilateral dynamics. Trader assessments reflect these de-escalation signals alongside persistent drug-flow concerns and the absence of confirmed land strikes to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,056,793วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military strikes have targeted suspected drug-trafficking vessels in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific since late 2025, with some incidents involving Colombian-linked boats and resulting in civilian casualties. Following the January 2026 US operation that removed Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro, President Trump publicly suggested possible action inside Colombia and criticized President Gustavo Petro over cocaine production, prompting Bogotá to heighten border security and express concerns about sovereignty. Tensions eased after a January phone call and February White House meeting, where the leaders agreed on joint intelligence and military operations against narco-bosses, leading to Colombian strikes on guerrilla groups. With Colombia’s presidential election scheduled for late May 2026, any shift in Bogotá’s counternarcotics stance or renewed US pressure on migration and tariffs could alter bilateral dynamics. Trader assessments reflect these de-escalation signals alongside persistent drug-flow concerns and the absence of confirmed land strikes to date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย