Trader consensus positions Anthropic as the clear leader with a 72% implied probability for the best AI model by end of June, reflecting sustained gains in reasoning benchmarks and enterprise deployment for its Claude large language models. This edge stems from recent capability demonstrations that outpace incremental updates from Google’s Gemini platform, which holds 21.5% amid ongoing scaling challenges, while OpenAI’s 5.5% share signals perceptions of slower iteration relative to competitors. Lower odds for xAI, Meta, and others underscore limited recent breakthroughs in public evaluations. Upcoming developer conferences and third-party benchmark releases over the next month remain key swing factors that could alter these market-implied odds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 72.2%
กูเกิล 22%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 1.6%
$6,017,941 ปริมาณ
$6,017,941 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
72%
กูเกิล
22%
OpenAI
6%
xAI
2%
เมตา
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
อเมซอน
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
อาลีบาบา
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
ไป่ตู้
<1%
Anthropic 72.2%
กูเกิล 22%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 1.6%
$6,017,941 ปริมาณ
$6,017,941 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$846,184 ปริมาณ
72%
กูเกิล
$550,011 ปริมาณ
22%
OpenAI
$343,785 ปริมาณ
6%
xAI
$1,071,203 ปริมาณ
2%
เมตา
$137,036 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$504,537 ปริมาณ
<1%
อเมซอน
$163,569 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$303,612 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$483,654 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$156,723 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$160,193 ปริมาณ
<1%
อาลีบาบา
$383,447 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$364,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$383,503 ปริมาณ
<1%
ไป่ตู้
$166,080 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus positions Anthropic as the clear leader with a 72% implied probability for the best AI model by end of June, reflecting sustained gains in reasoning benchmarks and enterprise deployment for its Claude large language models. This edge stems from recent capability demonstrations that outpace incremental updates from Google’s Gemini platform, which holds 21.5% amid ongoing scaling challenges, while OpenAI’s 5.5% share signals perceptions of slower iteration relative to competitors. Lower odds for xAI, Meta, and others underscore limited recent breakthroughs in public evaluations. Upcoming developer conferences and third-party benchmark releases over the next month remain key swing factors that could alter these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,017,941วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus positions Anthropic as the clear leader with a 72% implied probability for the best AI model by end of June, reflecting sustained gains in reasoning benchmarks and enterprise deployment for its Claude large language models. This edge stems from recent capability demonstrations that outpace incremental updates from Google’s Gemini platform, which holds 21.5% amid ongoing scaling challenges, while OpenAI’s 5.5% share signals perceptions of slower iteration relative to competitors. Lower odds for xAI, Meta, and others underscore limited recent breakthroughs in public evaluations. Upcoming developer conferences and third-party benchmark releases over the next month remain key swing factors that could alter these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,017,941วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Anthropic as the clear leader with a 72% implied probability for the best AI model by end of June, reflecting sustained gains in reasoning benchmarks and enterprise deployment for its Claude large language models. This edge stems from recent capability demonstrations that outpace incremental updates from Google’s Gemini platform, which holds 21.5% amid ongoing scaling challenges, while OpenAI’s 5.5% share signals perceptions of slower iteration relative to competitors. Lower odds for xAI, Meta, and others underscore limited recent breakthroughs in public evaluations. Upcoming developer conferences and third-party benchmark releases over the next month remain key swing factors that could alter these market-implied odds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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