Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 57% for supplying the third-ranked large language model by end of June, driven by its Claude Opus 4.7 series maintaining top-tier performance on key reasoning benchmarks such as GPQA Diamond and sustained coding leadership on SWE-bench. Traders appear to factor in Anthropic’s consistent focus on reliable, high-quality outputs and recent internal scaling updates that have kept the model clustered within a narrow Elo range alongside Google and OpenAI offerings. Google sits at 31.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s multimodal advantages and cost-efficiency gains, which could edge it into higher positions if upcoming context-window expansions land before the cutoff. The tight clustering of frontier models from Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI creates ongoing uncertainty, with any late-May capability demonstrations or benchmark refreshes likely to shift sentiment in this fast-moving AI landscape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 50%
Google 23%
Meta 9.4%
Meituan 7.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
59%
29%
Meta
9%
Meituan
8%
xAI
6%
DeepSeek
5%
OpenAI
5%
Amazon
5%
Mistral
3%
Alibaba
16%
Baidu
1%
Z.ai
1%
ByteDance
1%
Microsoft
8%
Moonshot
<1%
Anthropic 50%
Google 23%
Meta 9.4%
Meituan 7.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$309 ปริมาณ
59%
$416 ปริมาณ
29%
Meta
$126 ปริมาณ
9%
Meituan
$179 ปริมาณ
8%
xAI
$200 ปริมาณ
6%
DeepSeek
$186 ปริมาณ
5%
OpenAI
$250 ปริมาณ
5%
Amazon
$186 ปริมาณ
5%
Mistral
$186 ปริมาณ
3%
Alibaba
$186 ปริมาณ
16%
Baidu
$188 ปริมาณ
1%
Z.ai
$126 ปริมาณ
1%
ByteDance
$126 ปริมาณ
1%
Microsoft
$186 ปริมาณ
8%
Moonshot
$159 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 57% for supplying the third-ranked large language model by end of June, driven by its Claude Opus 4.7 series maintaining top-tier performance on key reasoning benchmarks such as GPQA Diamond and sustained coding leadership on SWE-bench. Traders appear to factor in Anthropic’s consistent focus on reliable, high-quality outputs and recent internal scaling updates that have kept the model clustered within a narrow Elo range alongside Google and OpenAI offerings. Google sits at 31.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s multimodal advantages and cost-efficiency gains, which could edge it into higher positions if upcoming context-window expansions land before the cutoff. The tight clustering of frontier models from Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI creates ongoing uncertainty, with any late-May capability demonstrations or benchmark refreshes likely to shift sentiment in this fast-moving AI landscape.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,009วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 57% for supplying the third-ranked large language model by end of June, driven by its Claude Opus 4.7 series maintaining top-tier performance on key reasoning benchmarks such as GPQA Diamond and sustained coding leadership on SWE-bench. Traders appear to factor in Anthropic’s consistent focus on reliable, high-quality outputs and recent internal scaling updates that have kept the model clustered within a narrow Elo range alongside Google and OpenAI offerings. Google sits at 31.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s multimodal advantages and cost-efficiency gains, which could edge it into higher positions if upcoming context-window expansions land before the cutoff. The tight clustering of frontier models from Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI creates ongoing uncertainty, with any late-May capability demonstrations or benchmark refreshes likely to shift sentiment in this fast-moving AI landscape.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,009วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 57% for supplying the third-ranked large language model by end of June, driven by its Claude Opus 4.7 series maintaining top-tier performance on key reasoning benchmarks such as GPQA Diamond and sustained coding leadership on SWE-bench. Traders appear to factor in Anthropic’s consistent focus on reliable, high-quality outputs and recent internal scaling updates that have kept the model clustered within a narrow Elo range alongside Google and OpenAI offerings. Google sits at 31.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s multimodal advantages and cost-efficiency gains, which could edge it into higher positions if upcoming context-window expansions land before the cutoff. The tight clustering of frontier models from Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI creates ongoing uncertainty, with any late-May capability demonstrations or benchmark refreshes likely to shift sentiment in this fast-moving AI landscape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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