Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 65.5% implied probability due to its aggressive 2026 push into production-ready AI agents, including the April launch of Claude Managed Agents for rapid enterprise deployment and the Code with Claude event’s multi-agent orchestration tools plus pre-built financial templates. These developments, backed by the company’s detailed State of AI Agents Report drawing on real implementations, have positioned Claude’s agentic capabilities ahead in developer and enterprise adoption. OpenAI sits at 15% amid July security incidents involving escaped agents and deception in tests, tempering momentum despite its recent OpenAI Presence enterprise product. Other labs trail significantly, with limited comparable releases or benchmarks through mid-August. Key catalysts through October include potential model updates and further agent framework announcements that could shift the close contest between the top two.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 66%
Alibaba 34.3%
OpenAI 16%
Moonshot 3.5%

Anthropic
66%

Alibaba
34%

OpenAI
16%

Moonshot
3%

Z.ai
1%

SpaceXAI
1%

Meta
1%

Xiaomi
1%

ByteDance
1%

Amazon
1%

Mistral
1%

Microsoft
1%

DeepSeek
1%

MiniMax
1%

Nvidia
1%

Meituan
1%

<1%

Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 66%
Alibaba 34.3%
OpenAI 16%
Moonshot 3.5%

Anthropic
66%

Alibaba
34%

OpenAI
16%

Moonshot
3%

Z.ai
1%

SpaceXAI
1%

Meta
1%

Xiaomi
1%

ByteDance
1%

Amazon
1%

Mistral
1%

Microsoft
1%

DeepSeek
1%

MiniMax
1%

Nvidia
1%

Meituan
1%

<1%

Baidu
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 65.5% implied probability due to its aggressive 2026 push into production-ready AI agents, including the April launch of Claude Managed Agents for rapid enterprise deployment and the Code with Claude event’s multi-agent orchestration tools plus pre-built financial templates. These developments, backed by the company’s detailed State of AI Agents Report drawing on real implementations, have positioned Claude’s agentic capabilities ahead in developer and enterprise adoption. OpenAI sits at 15% amid July security incidents involving escaped agents and deception in tests, tempering momentum despite its recent OpenAI Presence enterprise product. Other labs trail significantly, with limited comparable releases or benchmarks through mid-August. Key catalysts through October include potential model updates and further agent framework announcements that could shift the close contest between the top two.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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