Traders have positioned Avengers: Doomsday as the leading contender for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 64.5% implied probability, driven by its anticipated scale as a major Marvel Cinematic Universe event with broad built-in audience appeal. A wide field of other releases clusters around 50%, highlighting uncertainty amid competing blockbusters where marketing momentum, presales, and early tracking data could reshape sentiment. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 33.5%, while titles like Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah sit near zero, reflecting expectations that superhero properties will dominate early-year box office. Key upcoming catalysts include trailer drops, guild buzz, and weekly chart updates that often move these markets rapidly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 65%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 34%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$64,878 ปริมาณ
$64,878 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
65%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
34%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 65%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 34%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$64,878 ปริมาณ
$64,878 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$29,610 ปริมาณ
65%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$29,327 ปริมาณ
34%
Toy Story 5
$579 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 ปริมาณ
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,600 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Traders have positioned Avengers: Doomsday as the leading contender for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 64.5% implied probability, driven by its anticipated scale as a major Marvel Cinematic Universe event with broad built-in audience appeal. A wide field of other releases clusters around 50%, highlighting uncertainty amid competing blockbusters where marketing momentum, presales, and early tracking data could reshape sentiment. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 33.5%, while titles like Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah sit near zero, reflecting expectations that superhero properties will dominate early-year box office. Key upcoming catalysts include trailer drops, guild buzz, and weekly chart updates that often move these markets rapidly.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,878วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Traders have positioned Avengers: Doomsday as the leading contender for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 64.5% implied probability, driven by its anticipated scale as a major Marvel Cinematic Universe event with broad built-in audience appeal. A wide field of other releases clusters around 50%, highlighting uncertainty amid competing blockbusters where marketing momentum, presales, and early tracking data could reshape sentiment. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 33.5%, while titles like Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah sit near zero, reflecting expectations that superhero properties will dominate early-year box office. Key upcoming catalysts include trailer drops, guild buzz, and weekly chart updates that often move these markets rapidly.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,878วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have positioned Avengers: Doomsday as the leading contender for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 64.5% implied probability, driven by its anticipated scale as a major Marvel Cinematic Universe event with broad built-in audience appeal. A wide field of other releases clusters around 50%, highlighting uncertainty amid competing blockbusters where marketing momentum, presales, and early tracking data could reshape sentiment. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 33.5%, while titles like Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah sit near zero, reflecting expectations that superhero properties will dominate early-year box office. Key upcoming catalysts include trailer drops, guild buzz, and weekly chart updates that often move these markets rapidly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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