Trader consensus on Polymarket currently places Avengers: Doomsday as the clear frontrunner for the biggest 2026 opening weekend at 72.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the MCU’s established track record for massive presales and global fan engagement. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits a distant second at 17.5 percent, buoyed by its own franchise momentum but facing stiffer competition from the Avengers crossover event. Recent trailer drops and casting confirmations have reinforced this positioning without shifting the market dramatically in the past month, while Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah trail at 3.1 and 1.8 percent respectively amid more modest tracking estimates. Upcoming summer release windows and final box-office comparables from similar tentpoles remain key swing factors for any late momentum changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วภาพยนตร์เรื่องใดมีวันหยุดสุดสัปดาห์ที่ยิ่งใหญ่ที่สุดในปี 2026?
ภาพยนตร์เรื่องใดมีวันหยุดสุดสัปดาห์ที่ยิ่งใหญ่ที่สุดในปี 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 18%
Toy Story 5 3.1%
The Odyssey 1.9%
$1,571,780 ปริมาณ
$1,571,780 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
18%
Toy Story 5
3%
The Odyssey
2%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
ภาพยนตร์ Super Mario Galaxy
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 18%
Toy Story 5 3.1%
The Odyssey 1.9%
$1,571,780 ปริมาณ
$1,571,780 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$118,995 ปริมาณ
73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$43,480 ปริมาณ
18%
Toy Story 5
$181,713 ปริมาณ
3%
The Odyssey
$146,997 ปริมาณ
2%
Dune: Messiah
$85,190 ปริมาณ
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$34,991 ปริมาณ
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$59,114 ปริมาณ
<1%
ภาพยนตร์ Super Mario Galaxy
$18,306 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket currently places Avengers: Doomsday as the clear frontrunner for the biggest 2026 opening weekend at 72.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the MCU’s established track record for massive presales and global fan engagement. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits a distant second at 17.5 percent, buoyed by its own franchise momentum but facing stiffer competition from the Avengers crossover event. Recent trailer drops and casting confirmations have reinforced this positioning without shifting the market dramatically in the past month, while Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah trail at 3.1 and 1.8 percent respectively amid more modest tracking estimates. Upcoming summer release windows and final box-office comparables from similar tentpoles remain key swing factors for any late momentum changes.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,571,780วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket currently places Avengers: Doomsday as the clear frontrunner for the biggest 2026 opening weekend at 72.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the MCU’s established track record for massive presales and global fan engagement. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits a distant second at 17.5 percent, buoyed by its own franchise momentum but facing stiffer competition from the Avengers crossover event. Recent trailer drops and casting confirmations have reinforced this positioning without shifting the market dramatically in the past month, while Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah trail at 3.1 and 1.8 percent respectively amid more modest tracking estimates. Upcoming summer release windows and final box-office comparables from similar tentpoles remain key swing factors for any late momentum changes.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,571,780วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket currently places Avengers: Doomsday as the clear frontrunner for the biggest 2026 opening weekend at 72.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the MCU’s established track record for massive presales and global fan engagement. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits a distant second at 17.5 percent, buoyed by its own franchise momentum but facing stiffer competition from the Avengers crossover event. Recent trailer drops and casting confirmations have reinforced this positioning without shifting the market dramatically in the past month, while Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah trail at 3.1 and 1.8 percent respectively amid more modest tracking estimates. Upcoming summer release windows and final box-office comparables from similar tentpoles remain key swing factors for any late momentum changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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