Lateefah Simon holds a dominant position in the CA-12 Democratic primary due to her status as the sitting representative, which delivered strong name recognition, institutional support, and fundraising advantages in the heavily Democratic district. Official results from the June 2 top-two primary confirm Simon captured roughly 80-84% of the vote against challenger Jamie Joyce, advancing both candidates under California's system while rendering the outcome for first place effectively settled. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the clear margin and absence of credible disputes. Potential shifts remain limited to narrow procedural factors such as final certification delays, a successful recount petition, or verified tabulation errors, though historical patterns in similar California contests show such reversals as exceedingly rare.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will place first in the CA-12 primary?
Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?
$1,303 ปริมาณ
$1,303 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
Lateefah Simon
100%
Jamie Joyce
1%
$1,303 ปริมาณ
$1,303 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
Lateefah Simon
$1,105 ปริมาณ
100%
Jamie Joyce
$199 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lateefah Simon holds a dominant position in the CA-12 Democratic primary due to her status as the sitting representative, which delivered strong name recognition, institutional support, and fundraising advantages in the heavily Democratic district. Official results from the June 2 top-two primary confirm Simon captured roughly 80-84% of the vote against challenger Jamie Joyce, advancing both candidates under California's system while rendering the outcome for first place effectively settled. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the clear margin and absence of credible disputes. Potential shifts remain limited to narrow procedural factors such as final certification delays, a successful recount petition, or verified tabulation errors, though historical patterns in similar California contests show such reversals as exceedingly rare.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 25, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,303วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 25, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lateefah Simon holds a dominant position in the CA-12 Democratic primary due to her status as the sitting representative, which delivered strong name recognition, institutional support, and fundraising advantages in the heavily Democratic district. Official results from the June 2 top-two primary confirm Simon captured roughly 80-84% of the vote against challenger Jamie Joyce, advancing both candidates under California's system while rendering the outcome for first place effectively settled. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the clear margin and absence of credible disputes. Potential shifts remain limited to narrow procedural factors such as final certification delays, a successful recount petition, or verified tabulation errors, though historical patterns in similar California contests show such reversals as exceedingly rare.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,303วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 25, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lateefah Simon holds a dominant position in the CA-12 Democratic primary due to her status as the sitting representative, which delivered strong name recognition, institutional support, and fundraising advantages in the heavily Democratic district. Official results from the June 2 top-two primary confirm Simon captured roughly 80-84% of the vote against challenger Jamie Joyce, advancing both candidates under California's system while rendering the outcome for first place effectively settled. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the clear margin and absence of credible disputes. Potential shifts remain limited to narrow procedural factors such as final certification delays, a successful recount petition, or verified tabulation errors, though historical patterns in similar California contests show such reversals as exceedingly rare.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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