The short remaining window through August 31, combined with stalled progress on major candidates such as Saudi Arabia, drives the 96.8% trader consensus on no new accession. Saudi officials continue to condition normalization on concrete steps toward Palestinian statehood, while recent U.S. statements tying a civilian nuclear agreement to Abraham Accords membership have not produced movement. Syria and Lebanon face unresolved security disputes and internal constraints that preclude rapid formalization, and earlier 2026 expansions involving Kazakhstan have already been completed without follow-on momentum. Diplomatic normalization requires sequential negotiations, public commitments, and procedural steps that historically span months rather than weeks. A last-minute breakthrough involving an unexpected smaller state or accelerated U.S.-brokered announcement remains possible but would require verifiable developments well beyond current reporting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว4% โอกาส
$53,296 ปริมาณ
$53,296 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
4% โอกาส
$53,296 ปริมาณ
$53,296 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The short remaining window through August 31, combined with stalled progress on major candidates such as Saudi Arabia, drives the 96.8% trader consensus on no new accession. Saudi officials continue to condition normalization on concrete steps toward Palestinian statehood, while recent U.S. statements tying a civilian nuclear agreement to Abraham Accords membership have not produced movement. Syria and Lebanon face unresolved security disputes and internal constraints that preclude rapid formalization, and earlier 2026 expansions involving Kazakhstan have already been completed without follow-on momentum. Diplomatic normalization requires sequential negotiations, public commitments, and procedural steps that historically span months rather than weeks. A last-minute breakthrough involving an unexpected smaller state or accelerated U.S.-brokered announcement remains possible but would require verifiable developments well beyond current reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,296วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The short remaining window through August 31, combined with stalled progress on major candidates such as Saudi Arabia, drives the 96.8% trader consensus on no new accession. Saudi officials continue to condition normalization on concrete steps toward Palestinian statehood, while recent U.S. statements tying a civilian nuclear agreement to Abraham Accords membership have not produced movement. Syria and Lebanon face unresolved security disputes and internal constraints that preclude rapid formalization, and earlier 2026 expansions involving Kazakhstan have already been completed without follow-on momentum. Diplomatic normalization requires sequential negotiations, public commitments, and procedural steps that historically span months rather than weeks. A last-minute breakthrough involving an unexpected smaller state or accelerated U.S.-brokered announcement remains possible but would require verifiable developments well beyond current reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,296วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The short remaining window through August 31, combined with stalled progress on major candidates such as Saudi Arabia, drives the 96.8% trader consensus on no new accession. Saudi officials continue to condition normalization on concrete steps toward Palestinian statehood, while recent U.S. statements tying a civilian nuclear agreement to Abraham Accords membership have not produced movement. Syria and Lebanon face unresolved security disputes and internal constraints that preclude rapid formalization, and earlier 2026 expansions involving Kazakhstan have already been completed without follow-on momentum. Diplomatic normalization requires sequential negotiations, public commitments, and procedural steps that historically span months rather than weeks. A last-minute breakthrough involving an unexpected smaller state or accelerated U.S.-brokered announcement remains possible but would require verifiable developments well beyond current reporting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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