Trader consensus favoring no new Abraham Accords signatory by August 31 reflects the absence of active, near-term negotiations or scheduled ceremonies following Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession and Somaliland’s pledge. Diplomatic normalization typically requires extended bilateral talks, U.S. mediation, and public commitments, with major candidates such as Saudi Arabia conditioning progress on Palestinian statehood steps that remain unresolved. Recent U.S. and Israeli statements emphasize longer-term expansion goals tied to regional stability or post-conflict deals rather than immediate action. A sudden breakthrough announcement or formalization with a smaller actor could still shift the outcome within the narrow window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว4% โอกาส
$53,296 ปริมาณ
$53,296 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
4% โอกาส
$53,296 ปริมาณ
$53,296 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favoring no new Abraham Accords signatory by August 31 reflects the absence of active, near-term negotiations or scheduled ceremonies following Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession and Somaliland’s pledge. Diplomatic normalization typically requires extended bilateral talks, U.S. mediation, and public commitments, with major candidates such as Saudi Arabia conditioning progress on Palestinian statehood steps that remain unresolved. Recent U.S. and Israeli statements emphasize longer-term expansion goals tied to regional stability or post-conflict deals rather than immediate action. A sudden breakthrough announcement or formalization with a smaller actor could still shift the outcome within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,296วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favoring no new Abraham Accords signatory by August 31 reflects the absence of active, near-term negotiations or scheduled ceremonies following Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession and Somaliland’s pledge. Diplomatic normalization typically requires extended bilateral talks, U.S. mediation, and public commitments, with major candidates such as Saudi Arabia conditioning progress on Palestinian statehood steps that remain unresolved. Recent U.S. and Israeli statements emphasize longer-term expansion goals tied to regional stability or post-conflict deals rather than immediate action. A sudden breakthrough announcement or formalization with a smaller actor could still shift the outcome within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,296วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favoring no new Abraham Accords signatory by August 31 reflects the absence of active, near-term negotiations or scheduled ceremonies following Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession and Somaliland’s pledge. Diplomatic normalization typically requires extended bilateral talks, U.S. mediation, and public commitments, with major candidates such as Saudi Arabia conditioning progress on Palestinian statehood steps that remain unresolved. Recent U.S. and Israeli statements emphasize longer-term expansion goals tied to regional stability or post-conflict deals rather than immediate action. A sudden breakthrough announcement or formalization with a smaller actor could still shift the outcome within the narrow window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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