Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, and its stated target for an October Nasdaq debut have driven the 86.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company followed its filing with a $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, positioning it ahead of OpenAI, which submitted its own confidential draft one week later but has since signaled a potential delay into 2027 to achieve a higher valuation or complete internal restructuring. Traders are weighting Anthropic’s faster regulatory progress and explicit timeline against OpenAI’s reported preference for remaining private longer amid ongoing profitability challenges and executive caution about public-company obligations. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 releases or banker updates that could confirm listing windows for either large language model developer.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic
87% โอกาส
$284,622 ปริมาณ
$284,622 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
87% โอกาส
$284,622 ปริมาณ
$284,622 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, and its stated target for an October Nasdaq debut have driven the 86.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company followed its filing with a $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, positioning it ahead of OpenAI, which submitted its own confidential draft one week later but has since signaled a potential delay into 2027 to achieve a higher valuation or complete internal restructuring. Traders are weighting Anthropic’s faster regulatory progress and explicit timeline against OpenAI’s reported preference for remaining private longer amid ongoing profitability challenges and executive caution about public-company obligations. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 releases or banker updates that could confirm listing windows for either large language model developer.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$284,622วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, and its stated target for an October Nasdaq debut have driven the 86.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company followed its filing with a $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, positioning it ahead of OpenAI, which submitted its own confidential draft one week later but has since signaled a potential delay into 2027 to achieve a higher valuation or complete internal restructuring. Traders are weighting Anthropic’s faster regulatory progress and explicit timeline against OpenAI’s reported preference for remaining private longer amid ongoing profitability challenges and executive caution about public-company obligations. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 releases or banker updates that could confirm listing windows for either large language model developer.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$284,622วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, and its stated target for an October Nasdaq debut have driven the 86.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company followed its filing with a $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, positioning it ahead of OpenAI, which submitted its own confidential draft one week later but has since signaled a potential delay into 2027 to achieve a higher valuation or complete internal restructuring. Traders are weighting Anthropic’s faster regulatory progress and explicit timeline against OpenAI’s reported preference for remaining private longer amid ongoing profitability challenges and executive caution about public-company obligations. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 releases or banker updates that could confirm listing windows for either large language model developer.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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