Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, ahead of OpenAI's submission later that month, combined with its $965 billion valuation from a $65 billion round and an estimated $47 billion annualized revenue run rate for 2026—roughly double OpenAI's—has driven the strong 88.5% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic reaching public markets first. Reports indicate Anthropic is advancing toward a potential fall listing, possibly October, while OpenAI has signaled interest in additional private runway and may push its debut into 2027. With both companies now in the post-filing quiet period, upcoming catalysts include roadshow schedules, regulatory timing, and any shifts in market conditions that could accelerate or delay either process.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic
$291,224 ปริมาณ
$291,224 ปริมาณ
Anthropic
$291,224 ปริมาณ
$291,224 ปริมาณ
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, ahead of OpenAI's submission later that month, combined with its $965 billion valuation from a $65 billion round and an estimated $47 billion annualized revenue run rate for 2026—roughly double OpenAI's—has driven the strong 88.5% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic reaching public markets first. Reports indicate Anthropic is advancing toward a potential fall listing, possibly October, while OpenAI has signaled interest in additional private runway and may push its debut into 2027. With both companies now in the post-filing quiet period, upcoming catalysts include roadshow schedules, regulatory timing, and any shifts in market conditions that could accelerate or delay either process.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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