Bipartisan Senate opposition has solidified trader expectations against a pardon. In late July 2026 the chamber unanimously approved a non-binding resolution urging President Trump not to grant clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell, citing her 20-year sentence for sex-trafficking offenses tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Every Republican joined Democrats in the vote, countering speculation linked to meetings between Maxwell and acting Attorney General Todd Blanche. Trump has declined to rule out the possibility but stated he has not seriously considered it, while Blanche has indicated no recommendation for relief will be made. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue clemency, yet the broad institutional pushback and absence of affirmative administration signals have kept implied probabilities for a pardon by year-end 2026 at low levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
6% โอกาส
$745,302 ปริมาณ
$745,302 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
ใช่
6% โอกาส
$745,302 ปริมาณ
$745,302 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan Senate opposition has solidified trader expectations against a pardon. In late July 2026 the chamber unanimously approved a non-binding resolution urging President Trump not to grant clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell, citing her 20-year sentence for sex-trafficking offenses tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Every Republican joined Democrats in the vote, countering speculation linked to meetings between Maxwell and acting Attorney General Todd Blanche. Trump has declined to rule out the possibility but stated he has not seriously considered it, while Blanche has indicated no recommendation for relief will be made. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue clemency, yet the broad institutional pushback and absence of affirmative administration signals have kept implied probabilities for a pardon by year-end 2026 at low levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$745,302วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan Senate opposition has solidified trader expectations against a pardon. In late July 2026 the chamber unanimously approved a non-binding resolution urging President Trump not to grant clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell, citing her 20-year sentence for sex-trafficking offenses tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Every Republican joined Democrats in the vote, countering speculation linked to meetings between Maxwell and acting Attorney General Todd Blanche. Trump has declined to rule out the possibility but stated he has not seriously considered it, while Blanche has indicated no recommendation for relief will be made. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue clemency, yet the broad institutional pushback and absence of affirmative administration signals have kept implied probabilities for a pardon by year-end 2026 at low levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$745,302วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Bipartisan Senate opposition has solidified trader expectations against a pardon. In late July 2026 the chamber unanimously approved a non-binding resolution urging President Trump not to grant clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell, citing her 20-year sentence for sex-trafficking offenses tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Every Republican joined Democrats in the vote, countering speculation linked to meetings between Maxwell and acting Attorney General Todd Blanche. Trump has declined to rule out the possibility but stated he has not seriously considered it, while Blanche has indicated no recommendation for relief will be made. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue clemency, yet the broad institutional pushback and absence of affirmative administration signals have kept implied probabilities for a pardon by year-end 2026 at low levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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