President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
$22,827 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
July 1
94%
July 2
90%
July 3
93%
July 4
93%
July 5
90%
July 6
93%
July 7
93%
July 8
93%
July 9
93%
July 10
92%
July 11
92%
July 12
88%
July 13
92%
July 14
92%
July 15
92%
July 16
91%
July 17
92%
July 18
92%
July 19
90%
July 20
91%
July 21
93%
July 22
91%
July 23
91%
July 24
91%
July 25
92%
July 26
90%
July 27
92%
July 28
92%
July 29
91%
July 30
92%
July 31
91%
$22,827 ปริมาณ
July 1
$8,101 ปริมาณ
94%
July 2
$1,778 ปริมาณ
90%
July 3
$881 ปริมาณ
93%
July 4
$3,675 ปริมาณ
93%
July 5
$1,054 ปริมาณ
90%
July 6
$1,156 ปริมาณ
93%
July 7
$218 ปริมาณ
93%
July 8
$56 ปริมาณ
93%
July 9
$122 ปริมาณ
93%
July 10
$76 ปริมาณ
92%
July 11
$50 ปริมาณ
92%
July 12
$1,621 ปริมาณ
88%
July 13
$35 ปริมาณ
92%
July 14
$272 ปริมาณ
92%
July 15
$24 ปริมาณ
92%
July 16
$70 ปริมาณ
91%
July 17
$97 ปริมาณ
92%
July 18
$1 ปริมาณ
92%
July 19
$206 ปริมาณ
90%
July 20
$0 ปริมาณ
91%
July 21
$65 ปริมาณ
93%
July 22
$266 ปริมาณ
91%
July 23
$189 ปริมาณ
91%
July 24
$2,137 ปริมาณ
91%
July 25
$0 ปริมาณ
92%
July 26
$171 ปริมาณ
90%
July 27
$23 ปริมาณ
92%
July 28
$118 ปริมาณ
92%
July 29
$157 ปริมาณ
91%
July 30
$108 ปริมาณ
92%
July 31
$100 ปริมาณ
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,827วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,827วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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