The stringent requirements of Article V for proposing and ratifying a constitutional amendment drive the overwhelming trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits in 2026. Any change to the 22nd Amendment would need two-thirds support in both chambers of Congress followed by approval from three-quarters of state legislatures, a threshold that has produced only 27 successful amendments in U.S. history and none in recent decades amid divided government and competing legislative priorities. Public statements from President Trump acknowledging the amendment’s clarity, combined with the absence of any active joint resolution or state-level movement in 2026, reinforce this assessment. While a narrow window for congressional action remains before year-end, realistic pathways to completion within the calendar year are limited by procedural timelines, ratification logistics, and the lack of demonstrated supermajorities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว4% โอกาส
$12,999 ปริมาณ
$12,999 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4% โอกาส
$12,999 ปริมาณ
$12,999 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The stringent requirements of Article V for proposing and ratifying a constitutional amendment drive the overwhelming trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits in 2026. Any change to the 22nd Amendment would need two-thirds support in both chambers of Congress followed by approval from three-quarters of state legislatures, a threshold that has produced only 27 successful amendments in U.S. history and none in recent decades amid divided government and competing legislative priorities. Public statements from President Trump acknowledging the amendment’s clarity, combined with the absence of any active joint resolution or state-level movement in 2026, reinforce this assessment. While a narrow window for congressional action remains before year-end, realistic pathways to completion within the calendar year are limited by procedural timelines, ratification logistics, and the lack of demonstrated supermajorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,999วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The stringent requirements of Article V for proposing and ratifying a constitutional amendment drive the overwhelming trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits in 2026. Any change to the 22nd Amendment would need two-thirds support in both chambers of Congress followed by approval from three-quarters of state legislatures, a threshold that has produced only 27 successful amendments in U.S. history and none in recent decades amid divided government and competing legislative priorities. Public statements from President Trump acknowledging the amendment’s clarity, combined with the absence of any active joint resolution or state-level movement in 2026, reinforce this assessment. While a narrow window for congressional action remains before year-end, realistic pathways to completion within the calendar year are limited by procedural timelines, ratification logistics, and the lack of demonstrated supermajorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,999วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The stringent requirements of Article V for proposing and ratifying a constitutional amendment drive the overwhelming trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits in 2026. Any change to the 22nd Amendment would need two-thirds support in both chambers of Congress followed by approval from three-quarters of state legislatures, a threshold that has produced only 27 successful amendments in U.S. history and none in recent decades amid divided government and competing legislative priorities. Public statements from President Trump acknowledging the amendment’s clarity, combined with the absence of any active joint resolution or state-level movement in 2026, reinforce this assessment. While a narrow window for congressional action remains before year-end, realistic pathways to completion within the calendar year are limited by procedural timelines, ratification logistics, and the lack of demonstrated supermajorities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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