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Teknolohiya·App

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?
Teknolohiya·App

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?

Sep 4

Sep 4

ChatGPT 47%

Vinted 45%

NBA 2K HQ 7%

7 Brew Coffee 6%

Polymarket
BAGO

ChatGPT 47%

Vinted 45%

NBA 2K HQ 7%

7 Brew Coffee 6%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$1 Vol.

47%

icon for Vinted

Vinted

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for NBA 2K HQ

NBA 2K HQ

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for 7 Brew Coffee

7 Brew Coffee

$20 Vol.

6%

icon for Threads

Threads

$31 Vol.

5%

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$176 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Multiple apps including ChatGPT, Claude by Anthropic, Threads, and Vinted hold closely matched market-implied odds near 50 percent for the top free US App Store spot on September 4, reflecting intense competition and limited decisive signals this close to the date. Recent AI model updates and feature enhancements have boosted visibility for large language model chatbots, while Threads benefits from Meta's platform integrations and user engagement algorithms. Vinted's fashion marketplace momentum and seasonal back-to-school or holiday shopping trends add further pressure, alongside gaming titles like NBA 2K. Traders appear to weigh typical weekend ranking volatility, potential viral app launches, and Apple Store algorithmic shifts, leaving the outcome highly sensitive to any last-minute downloads or promotions before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$228
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Multiple apps including ChatGPT, Claude by Anthropic, Threads, and Vinted hold closely matched market-implied odds near 50 percent for the top free US App Store spot on September 4, reflecting intense competition and limited decisive signals this close to the date. Recent AI model updates and feature enhancements have boosted visibility for large language model chatbots, while Threads benefits from Meta's platform integrations and user engagement algorithms. Vinted's fashion marketplace momentum and seasonal back-to-school or holiday shopping trends add further pressure, alongside gaming titles like NBA 2K. Traders appear to weigh typical weekend ranking volatility, potential viral app launches, and Apple Store algorithmic shifts, leaving the outcome highly sensitive to any last-minute downloads or promotions before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$228
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?

93%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "ChatGPT" sa 47%, sinusundan ng "Vinted" sa 45%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 47¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 47% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 28, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?" ay "ChatGPT" sa 47%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 47% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Vinted" sa 45%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.