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Teknolohiya·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

icon for Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?
Teknolohiya·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

September 22 57%

September 8 46%

September 15 46%

September 7 45%

Polymarket
BAGO

September 22 57%

September 8 46%

September 15 46%

September 7 45%

Polymarket
BAGO

On or prior to August 25

$5 Vol.

1%

August 26

$46 Vol.

21%

August 27

$46 Vol.

20%

August 28

$46 Vol.

23%

August 29

$496 Vol.

1%

August 30

$496 Vol.

1%

August 31

$31 Vol.

24%

September 1

$46 Vol.

22%

September 2

$136 Vol.

20%

September 3

$136 Vol.

6%

September 4

$136 Vol.

18%

September 5

$236 Vol.

1%

September 6

$236 Vol.

1%

September 7

$136 Vol.

45%

September 8

$136 Vol.

46%

September 9

$136 Vol.

45%

September 10

$136 Vol.

29%

September 11

$46 Vol.

16%

September 12

$136 Vol.

1%

September 13

$136 Vol.

4%

September 14

$136 Vol.

20%

September 15

$136 Vol.

46%

September 16

$136 Vol.

4%

September 17

$136 Vol.

4%

September 18

$156 Vol.

15%

September 19

$417 Vol.

4%

September 20

$457 Vol.

3%

September 21

$136 Vol.

6%

September 22

$136 Vol.

57%

September 23

$136 Vol.

4%

September 24

$136 Vol.

12%

September 25

$136 Vol.

9%

September 26

$136 Vol.

18%

September 27

$462 Vol.

5%

September 28

$136 Vol.

5%

September 29

$136 Vol.

21%

September 30

$136 Vol.

4%

No release by September 30

$444 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 (public, safeguarded) and Mythos 5 (limited via Project Glasswing) reset the cycle for the next Mythos-class model, with trader sentiment now clustering around early-to-mid September dates amid roughly even probabilities. The spread reflects historical 3–5 month frontier-model cadences tempered by ongoing safety evaluations, cybersecurity safeguards, and compute constraints that have delayed prior iterations. A mid-August leak describing a “Model 2” successor with reported benchmark gains has added near-term momentum, yet no official announcements or verifiable progress updates have emerged to break the deadlock. Traders weigh these factors against regulatory scrutiny on advanced cyber capabilities and typical pre-release testing timelines, keeping outcomes tightly contested through the end of the month.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,659
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 7:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Dispute window

Pinal

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 (public, safeguarded) and Mythos 5 (limited via Project Glasswing) reset the cycle for the next Mythos-class model, with trader sentiment now clustering around early-to-mid September dates amid roughly even probabilities. The spread reflects historical 3–5 month frontier-model cadences tempered by ongoing safety evaluations, cybersecurity safeguards, and compute constraints that have delayed prior iterations. A mid-August leak describing a “Model 2” successor with reported benchmark gains has added near-term momentum, yet no official announcements or verifiable progress updates have emerged to break the deadlock. Traders weigh these factors against regulatory scrutiny on advanced cyber capabilities and typical pre-release testing timelines, keeping outcomes tightly contested through the end of the month.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,659
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 7:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Dispute window

Pinal

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 38 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "September 10" sa 29%, sinusundan ng "September 22" sa 28%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 29¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 29% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 24, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?," i-browse ang 38 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" ay "September 10" sa 29%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 29% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "September 22" sa 28%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.