Recent polling and forecaster adjustments have tightened Alabama’s 2nd district contest, giving Republican Rhett Marques a narrow edge in trader pricing over Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. A Remington survey from late October showed Marques ahead by two points, while Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifted the race to toss-up status and the Cook Political Report moved it to lean Republican. The newly redrawn map favors Republicans, yet Figures has outraised his opponent and benefited from strong Democratic outside spending exceeding $7 million. President Trump’s repeated endorsements of Marques and attacks on Figures have reinforced Republican positioning, though the close margin leaves room for late shifts from turnout or final-week developments ahead of the November 3 election.