The closely balanced odds for no new Ebola-affected country by October 1 reflect the DRC's rapidly intensifying Bundibugyo outbreak, now the country's deadliest with over 5,794 confirmed cases and 2,786 deaths across six provinces as of late August, alongside improving but strained contact tracing and early vaccination efforts for frontline workers. Spillover risks remain elevated near borders with South Sudan and the Central African Republic due to displacement, conflict, and population mobility, yet no fresh international confirmations have emerged since limited imports in France and Uganda's resolved cluster. Traders weigh the exceptional transmission pace against response gains and the short window to October 1. Key upcoming catalysts include daily case reports, border surveillance updates, and any cross-border detections that could shift momentum before the deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateEbola: new country confirmed before October 1?
Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?
47% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 1, 2026
47% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "current outbreak" is the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak declared by the DRC on May 15, 2026. A "qualifying country" is any country other than the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, or France, each of which had recorded at least one confirmed case attributable to this outbreak as reported by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) https://www.cdc.gov/ebola/situation-summary/index.html.
A "confirmed case" is a laboratory-confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus infection attributed to the current outbreak. A case counts for whichever country the qualifying source assigns it to in its reporting, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or specimen collection occurred. Resolution turns on the date a qualifying source publishes the confirmation — not the date of exposure, onset, or laboratory result. A report published after the deadline does not count even if the infection occurred earlier.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities, including CDC and the World Health Organization (WHO); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The closely balanced odds for no new Ebola-affected country by October 1 reflect the DRC's rapidly intensifying Bundibugyo outbreak, now the country's deadliest with over 5,794 confirmed cases and 2,786 deaths across six provinces as of late August, alongside improving but strained contact tracing and early vaccination efforts for frontline workers. Spillover risks remain elevated near borders with South Sudan and the Central African Republic due to displacement, conflict, and population mobility, yet no fresh international confirmations have emerged since limited imports in France and Uganda's resolved cluster. Traders weigh the exceptional transmission pace against response gains and the short window to October 1. Key upcoming catalysts include daily case reports, border surveillance updates, and any cross-border detections that could shift momentum before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "current outbreak" is the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak declared by the DRC on May 15, 2026. A "qualifying country" is any country other than the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, or France, each of which had recorded at least one confirmed case attributable to this outbreak as reported by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) https://www.cdc.gov/ebola/situation-summary/index.html.
A "confirmed case" is a laboratory-confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus infection attributed to the current outbreak. A case counts for whichever country the qualifying source assigns it to in its reporting, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or specimen collection occurred. Resolution turns on the date a qualifying source publishes the confirmation — not the date of exposure, onset, or laboratory result. A report published after the deadline does not count even if the infection occurred earlier.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities, including CDC and the World Health Organization (WHO); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
The "current outbreak" is the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak declared by the DRC on May 15, 2026. A "qualifying country" is any country other than the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, or France, each of which had recorded at least one confirmed case attributable to this outbreak as reported by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) https://www.cdc.gov/ebola/situation-summary/index.html.
A "confirmed case" is a laboratory-confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus infection attributed to the current outbreak. A case counts for whichever country the qualifying source assigns it to in its reporting, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or specimen collection occurred. Resolution turns on the date a qualifying source publishes the confirmation — not the date of exposure, onset, or laboratory result. A report published after the deadline does not count even if the infection occurred earlier.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities, including CDC and the World Health Organization (WHO); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Volume
$132Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "current outbreak" is the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak declared by the DRC on May 15, 2026. A "qualifying country" is any country other than the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, or France, each of which had recorded at least one confirmed case attributable to this outbreak as reported by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) https://www.cdc.gov/ebola/situation-summary/index.html.
A "confirmed case" is a laboratory-confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus infection attributed to the current outbreak. A case counts for whichever country the qualifying source assigns it to in its reporting, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or specimen collection occurred. Resolution turns on the date a qualifying source publishes the confirmation — not the date of exposure, onset, or laboratory result. A report published after the deadline does not count even if the infection occurred earlier.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities, including CDC and the World Health Organization (WHO); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The closely balanced odds for no new Ebola-affected country by October 1 reflect the DRC's rapidly intensifying Bundibugyo outbreak, now the country's deadliest with over 5,794 confirmed cases and 2,786 deaths across six provinces as of late August, alongside improving but strained contact tracing and early vaccination efforts for frontline workers. Spillover risks remain elevated near borders with South Sudan and the Central African Republic due to displacement, conflict, and population mobility, yet no fresh international confirmations have emerged since limited imports in France and Uganda's resolved cluster. Traders weigh the exceptional transmission pace against response gains and the short window to October 1. Key upcoming catalysts include daily case reports, border surveillance updates, and any cross-border detections that could shift momentum before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "current outbreak" is the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak declared by the DRC on May 15, 2026. A "qualifying country" is any country other than the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, or France, each of which had recorded at least one confirmed case attributable to this outbreak as reported by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) https://www.cdc.gov/ebola/situation-summary/index.html.
A "confirmed case" is a laboratory-confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus infection attributed to the current outbreak. A case counts for whichever country the qualifying source assigns it to in its reporting, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or specimen collection occurred. Resolution turns on the date a qualifying source publishes the confirmation — not the date of exposure, onset, or laboratory result. A report published after the deadline does not count even if the infection occurred earlier.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities, including CDC and the World Health Organization (WHO); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
The "current outbreak" is the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak declared by the DRC on May 15, 2026. A "qualifying country" is any country other than the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, or France, each of which had recorded at least one confirmed case attributable to this outbreak as reported by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) https://www.cdc.gov/ebola/situation-summary/index.html.
A "confirmed case" is a laboratory-confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus infection attributed to the current outbreak. A case counts for whichever country the qualifying source assigns it to in its reporting, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or specimen collection occurred. Resolution turns on the date a qualifying source publishes the confirmation — not the date of exposure, onset, or laboratory result. A report published after the deadline does not count even if the infection occurred earlier.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities, including CDC and the World Health Organization (WHO); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$132Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closely balanced odds for no new Ebola-affected country by October 1 reflect the DRC's rapidly intensifying Bundibugyo outbreak, now the country's deadliest with over 5,794 confirmed cases and 2,786 deaths across six provinces as of late August, alongside improving but strained contact tracing and early vaccination efforts for frontline workers. Spillover risks remain elevated near borders with South Sudan and the Central African Republic due to displacement, conflict, and population mobility, yet no fresh international confirmations have emerged since limited imports in France and Uganda's resolved cluster. Traders weigh the exceptional transmission pace against response gains and the short window to October 1. Key upcoming catalysts include daily case reports, border surveillance updates, and any cross-border detections that could shift momentum before the deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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