Traders see the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets as clear frontrunners because Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X has stayed moderate, consistent with mid-August stretches lacking major Tesla or SpaceX launches, product reveals, or heated cultural debates. Historical patterns show daily volumes often cluster in the low-to-mid teens when business demands dominate his feed, keeping three-day totals well below 65 in most comparable windows. The razor-thin odds above 65 reflect the market’s view that only an unexpected surge—such as rapid-fire replies to breaking news or a viral thread—could push counts higher, an outcome traders have priced near zero absent fresh catalysts. With the window closing shortly, current activity levels reinforce the consensus that volumes will land in the lower ranges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026?
<40 63%
40-64 38%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$404,167 Vol.
$404,167 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
<40
63%
40-64
38%
65-89
<1%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
<40 63%
40-64 38%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$404,167 Vol.
$404,167 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
<40
$108,963 Vol.
63%
40-64
$64,961 Vol.
38%
65-89
$77,065 Vol.
<1%
90-114
$67,031 Vol.
<1%
115-139
$48,694 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$16,923 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$8,347 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,264 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$4,806 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,113 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets as clear frontrunners because Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X has stayed moderate, consistent with mid-August stretches lacking major Tesla or SpaceX launches, product reveals, or heated cultural debates. Historical patterns show daily volumes often cluster in the low-to-mid teens when business demands dominate his feed, keeping three-day totals well below 65 in most comparable windows. The razor-thin odds above 65 reflect the market’s view that only an unexpected surge—such as rapid-fire replies to breaking news or a viral thread—could push counts higher, an outcome traders have priced near zero absent fresh catalysts. With the window closing shortly, current activity levels reinforce the consensus that volumes will land in the lower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$404,167Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets as clear frontrunners because Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X has stayed moderate, consistent with mid-August stretches lacking major Tesla or SpaceX launches, product reveals, or heated cultural debates. Historical patterns show daily volumes often cluster in the low-to-mid teens when business demands dominate his feed, keeping three-day totals well below 65 in most comparable windows. The razor-thin odds above 65 reflect the market’s view that only an unexpected surge—such as rapid-fire replies to breaking news or a viral thread—could push counts higher, an outcome traders have priced near zero absent fresh catalysts. With the window closing shortly, current activity levels reinforce the consensus that volumes will land in the lower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$404,167Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets as clear frontrunners because Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X has stayed moderate, consistent with mid-August stretches lacking major Tesla or SpaceX launches, product reveals, or heated cultural debates. Historical patterns show daily volumes often cluster in the low-to-mid teens when business demands dominate his feed, keeping three-day totals well below 65 in most comparable windows. The razor-thin odds above 65 reflect the market’s view that only an unexpected surge—such as rapid-fire replies to breaking news or a viral thread—could push counts higher, an outcome traders have priced near zero absent fresh catalysts. With the window closing shortly, current activity levels reinforce the consensus that volumes will land in the lower ranges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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