Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s weekly X post volume centers on observed daily rates of 25–40 posts in early August, including a 41-post day on August 9, which positions the 140-159 bracket as the clearest favorite at 41.5% implied probability. Steady engagement with SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok-related topics, without major breaking news spikes or extended absences, supports this range over higher brackets like 160-179 at 29.5%. The final two days of the period remain key swing factors, as any surge in replies, memes, or company announcements could shift volume upward before the cutoff. Markets treat these odds as real-capital consensus on Musk’s consistent but variable posting rhythm.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?
140-159 40%
160-179 31%
180-199 12%
120-139 10.7%
$1,357,228 Vol.
$1,357,228 Vol.
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
11%
140-159
40%
160-179
31%
180-199
12%
200-219
3%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 40%
160-179 31%
180-199 12%
120-139 10.7%
$1,357,228 Vol.
$1,357,228 Vol.
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
11%
140-159
40%
160-179
31%
180-199
12%
200-219
3%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s weekly X post volume centers on observed daily rates of 25–40 posts in early August, including a 41-post day on August 9, which positions the 140-159 bracket as the clearest favorite at 41.5% implied probability. Steady engagement with SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok-related topics, without major breaking news spikes or extended absences, supports this range over higher brackets like 160-179 at 29.5%. The final two days of the period remain key swing factors, as any surge in replies, memes, or company announcements could shift volume upward before the cutoff. Markets treat these odds as real-capital consensus on Musk’s consistent but variable posting rhythm.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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