Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X, typically ranging from 15-30 posts daily including replies and media, anchors the market's strong consensus around the 40-64 range for the August 8-10 window. Traders appear to price in steady but not exceptional activity tied to routine SpaceX and Tesla updates, with no major product launches, regulatory developments, or viral controversies emerging over the past 48 hours to accelerate output. Recent visible engagement on topics like Grok features and Starlink milestones aligns with baseline momentum rather than spikes seen during high-stakes periods. The lower <40 outcome holds notable implied probability as a buffer for any weekend slowdown, while elevated brackets above 65 remain discounted absent fresh catalysts before the period closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026?
40-64 60%
<40 28%
65-89 13%
90-114 2.0%
$168,228 Vol.
$168,228 Vol.
<40
28%
40-64
60%
65-89
13%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 60%
<40 28%
65-89 13%
90-114 2.0%
$168,228 Vol.
$168,228 Vol.
<40
28%
40-64
60%
65-89
13%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X, typically ranging from 15-30 posts daily including replies and media, anchors the market's strong consensus around the 40-64 range for the August 8-10 window. Traders appear to price in steady but not exceptional activity tied to routine SpaceX and Tesla updates, with no major product launches, regulatory developments, or viral controversies emerging over the past 48 hours to accelerate output. Recent visible engagement on topics like Grok features and Starlink milestones aligns with baseline momentum rather than spikes seen during high-stakes periods. The lower <40 outcome holds notable implied probability as a buffer for any weekend slowdown, while elevated brackets above 65 remain discounted absent fresh catalysts before the period closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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