Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X over the past week has anchored trader expectations for a final May 12–19 total in the 180–219 range, with 180–199 holding the clearest edge at 44.9 percent implied probability. Daily commentary on free-speech controversies, UK politics, and cultural double standards has kept his output consistently elevated, mirroring patterns seen during other high-engagement news cycles. The market reflects real-time tracking of his account activity rather than speculation, with traders weighing the remaining three days of the period against his typical weekend rhythm. A surge or slowdown tied to any breaking story could still nudge the count toward the 200–219 bracket, but the current trajectory favors the lower half of the frontrunning outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?
180-199 44.1%
200-219 29.9%
220-239 10.5%
160-179 7.1%
$9,615,669 Vol.
$9,615,669 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
7%
180-199
44%
200-219
30%
220-239
11%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 44.1%
200-219 29.9%
220-239 10.5%
160-179 7.1%
$9,615,669 Vol.
$9,615,669 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
$706,013 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$459,387 Vol.
7%
180-199
$367,710 Vol.
44%
200-219
$351,409 Vol.
30%
220-239
$373,497 Vol.
11%
240-259
$308,918 Vol.
2%
260-279
$294,111 Vol.
1%
280-299
$268,003 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$322,654 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$400,076 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$431,109 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$416,794 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,319 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$540,293 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,801 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,148 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,044 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,190 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,769 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X over the past week has anchored trader expectations for a final May 12–19 total in the 180–219 range, with 180–199 holding the clearest edge at 44.9 percent implied probability. Daily commentary on free-speech controversies, UK politics, and cultural double standards has kept his output consistently elevated, mirroring patterns seen during other high-engagement news cycles. The market reflects real-time tracking of his account activity rather than speculation, with traders weighing the remaining three days of the period against his typical weekend rhythm. A surge or slowdown tied to any breaking story could still nudge the count toward the 200–219 bracket, but the current trajectory favors the lower half of the frontrunning outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,615,669Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X over the past week has anchored trader expectations for a final May 12–19 total in the 180–219 range, with 180–199 holding the clearest edge at 44.9 percent implied probability. Daily commentary on free-speech controversies, UK politics, and cultural double standards has kept his output consistently elevated, mirroring patterns seen during other high-engagement news cycles. The market reflects real-time tracking of his account activity rather than speculation, with traders weighing the remaining three days of the period against his typical weekend rhythm. A surge or slowdown tied to any breaking story could still nudge the count toward the 200–219 bracket, but the current trajectory favors the lower half of the frontrunning outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,615,669Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X over the past week has anchored trader expectations for a final May 12–19 total in the 180–219 range, with 180–199 holding the clearest edge at 44.9 percent implied probability. Daily commentary on free-speech controversies, UK politics, and cultural double standards has kept his output consistently elevated, mirroring patterns seen during other high-engagement news cycles. The market reflects real-time tracking of his account activity rather than speculation, with traders weighing the remaining three days of the period against his typical weekend rhythm. A surge or slowdown tied to any breaking story could still nudge the count toward the 200–219 bracket, but the current trajectory favors the lower half of the frontrunning outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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