Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk over the May 18-20 weekend at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting his established pattern of moderated weekend posting absent major breaking news. Recent short-period tracking shows daily averages of 13-20 posts when no high-stakes launches, policy shifts, or viral controversies dominate his feed, aligning with steady but not explosive activity across Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates. The 65-89 bucket at 25.5% remains a viable secondary outcome if momentum from ongoing robotics or AI milestones carries into the period, while sub-40 odds at 16.5% price in the possibility of an unusually quiet stretch. With no flagship events locked for those dates, the market consensus highlights how routine executive chatter and meme engagement typically set the baseline for three-day totals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets May 18 - May 20, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets May 18 - May 20, 2026?
40-64 42%
65-89 26%
<40 17%
90-114 10%
BAGO
$11,851 Vol.
BAGO
$11,851 Vol.
May 20, 2026
<40
17%
40-64
42%
65-89
26%
90-114
10%
115-139
3%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 42%
65-89 26%
<40 17%
90-114 10%
BAGO
$11,851 Vol.
BAGO
$11,851 Vol.
May 20, 2026
<40
$313 Vol.
17%
40-64
$833 Vol.
42%
65-89
$671 Vol.
26%
90-114
$3,990 Vol.
10%
115-139
$180 Vol.
3%
140-164
$704 Vol.
1%
165-189
$754 Vol.
1%
190-214
$1,759 Vol.
1%
215-239
$1,654 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk over the May 18-20 weekend at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting his established pattern of moderated weekend posting absent major breaking news. Recent short-period tracking shows daily averages of 13-20 posts when no high-stakes launches, policy shifts, or viral controversies dominate his feed, aligning with steady but not explosive activity across Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates. The 65-89 bucket at 25.5% remains a viable secondary outcome if momentum from ongoing robotics or AI milestones carries into the period, while sub-40 odds at 16.5% price in the possibility of an unusually quiet stretch. With no flagship events locked for those dates, the market consensus highlights how routine executive chatter and meme engagement typically set the baseline for three-day totals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$11,851Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk over the May 18-20 weekend at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting his established pattern of moderated weekend posting absent major breaking news. Recent short-period tracking shows daily averages of 13-20 posts when no high-stakes launches, policy shifts, or viral controversies dominate his feed, aligning with steady but not explosive activity across Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates. The 65-89 bucket at 25.5% remains a viable secondary outcome if momentum from ongoing robotics or AI milestones carries into the period, while sub-40 odds at 16.5% price in the possibility of an unusually quiet stretch. With no flagship events locked for those dates, the market consensus highlights how routine executive chatter and meme engagement typically set the baseline for three-day totals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,851Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskTraders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk over the May 18-20 weekend at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting his established pattern of moderated weekend posting absent major breaking news. Recent short-period tracking shows daily averages of 13-20 posts when no high-stakes launches, policy shifts, or viral controversies dominate his feed, aligning with steady but not explosive activity across Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates. The 65-89 bucket at 25.5% remains a viable secondary outcome if momentum from ongoing robotics or AI milestones carries into the period, while sub-40 odds at 16.5% price in the possibility of an unusually quiet stretch. With no flagship events locked for those dates, the market consensus highlights how routine executive chatter and meme engagement typically set the baseline for three-day totals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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