Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a moderate rhythm of 15–20 original posts and replies daily, positioning the 40–64 range as the clear market favorite with a 69.5% implied probability for the May 16–18 window. Traders are tracking his activity around Grok model updates, Tesla FSD rollout commentary, and quick reactions to current events, patterns that align with his output in the preceding week rather than the higher-volume spikes seen during major product launches or political controversies. With the three-day period already underway and no major announcements or viral threads emerging to accelerate engagement, momentum remains anchored in this range, though a late surge above 65 remains possible if weekend discussion intensifies.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets May 16 - May 18, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets May 16 - May 18, 2026?
40-64 62%
65-89 31%
90-114 4.9%
<40 1.5%
$430,737 Vol.
$430,737 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
2%
40-64
62%
65-89
31%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 62%
65-89 31%
90-114 4.9%
<40 1.5%
$430,737 Vol.
$430,737 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
$91,909 Vol.
2%
40-64
$35,040 Vol.
62%
65-89
$44,096 Vol.
31%
90-114
$65,079 Vol.
5%
115-139
$43,091 Vol.
1%
140-164
$47,592 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$36,291 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$14,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$16,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a moderate rhythm of 15–20 original posts and replies daily, positioning the 40–64 range as the clear market favorite with a 69.5% implied probability for the May 16–18 window. Traders are tracking his activity around Grok model updates, Tesla FSD rollout commentary, and quick reactions to current events, patterns that align with his output in the preceding week rather than the higher-volume spikes seen during major product launches or political controversies. With the three-day period already underway and no major announcements or viral threads emerging to accelerate engagement, momentum remains anchored in this range, though a late surge above 65 remains possible if weekend discussion intensifies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$430,737Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a moderate rhythm of 15–20 original posts and replies daily, positioning the 40–64 range as the clear market favorite with a 69.5% implied probability for the May 16–18 window. Traders are tracking his activity around Grok model updates, Tesla FSD rollout commentary, and quick reactions to current events, patterns that align with his output in the preceding week rather than the higher-volume spikes seen during major product launches or political controversies. With the three-day period already underway and no major announcements or viral threads emerging to accelerate engagement, momentum remains anchored in this range, though a late surge above 65 remains possible if weekend discussion intensifies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$430,737Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has settled into a moderate rhythm of 15–20 original posts and replies daily, positioning the 40–64 range as the clear market favorite with a 69.5% implied probability for the May 16–18 window. Traders are tracking his activity around Grok model updates, Tesla FSD rollout commentary, and quick reactions to current events, patterns that align with his output in the preceding week rather than the higher-volume spikes seen during major product launches or political controversies. With the three-day period already underway and no major announcements or viral threads emerging to accelerate engagement, momentum remains anchored in this range, though a late surge above 65 remains possible if weekend discussion intensifies.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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