Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X during the May 16-18 window has anchored trader consensus around the 65-89 tweet range at a dominant 90.5% implied probability. Consistent engagement with breaking tech updates, SpaceX milestones, and real-time commentary on current events has kept daily volume elevated, matching historical patterns seen during active news cycles. With the three-day period now concluding, limited room remains for dramatic spikes or sudden drops unless an unforeseen major development triggers a burst of replies or threads. Upset scenarios would require either an unusually quiet stretch or an external shock prompting far higher or lower activity than recent days have shown.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets May 16 - May 18, 2026?
65-89 90%
40-64 6.0%
90-114 3.9%
115-139 <1%
$1,112,425 Vol.
$1,112,425 Vol.
40-64
6%
65-89
90%
90-114
4%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 90%
40-64 6.0%
90-114 3.9%
115-139 <1%
$1,112,425 Vol.
$1,112,425 Vol.
40-64
6%
65-89
90%
90-114
4%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X during the May 16-18 window has anchored trader consensus around the 65-89 tweet range at a dominant 90.5% implied probability. Consistent engagement with breaking tech updates, SpaceX milestones, and real-time commentary on current events has kept daily volume elevated, matching historical patterns seen during active news cycles. With the three-day period now concluding, limited room remains for dramatic spikes or sudden drops unless an unforeseen major development triggers a burst of replies or threads. Upset scenarios would require either an unusually quiet stretch or an external shock prompting far higher or lower activity than recent days have shown.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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