President Trump’s established pattern of direct, personal rhetoric in public statements, press interactions, and social media posts continues to drive daily market pricing on whether he will insult an individual. Recent developments include multiple documented examples in mid-May 2026, such as criticisms directed at a Texas Senate candidate during an Air Force One gaggle and earlier remarks targeting congressional opponents and administration figures on Truth Social. Traders assess these outcomes against scheduled events like remarks, travel, or media availability that historically correlate with elevated likelihood of such language. The market reflects consistent historical frequency rather than isolated incidents, with resolution turning on verifiable public statements meeting the defined criteria for personal or professional attacks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$484,665 Vol.
May 17
89%
May 18
90%
May 19
93%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
94%
May 23
90%
May 24
89%
May 25
88%
May 26
88%
May 27
86%
May 28
89%
May 29
88%
May 30
91%
May 31
89%
$484,665 Vol.
May 17
89%
May 18
90%
May 19
93%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
94%
May 23
90%
May 24
89%
May 25
88%
May 26
88%
May 27
86%
May 28
89%
May 29
88%
May 30
91%
May 31
89%
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s established pattern of direct, personal rhetoric in public statements, press interactions, and social media posts continues to drive daily market pricing on whether he will insult an individual. Recent developments include multiple documented examples in mid-May 2026, such as criticisms directed at a Texas Senate candidate during an Air Force One gaggle and earlier remarks targeting congressional opponents and administration figures on Truth Social. Traders assess these outcomes against scheduled events like remarks, travel, or media availability that historically correlate with elevated likelihood of such language. The market reflects consistent historical frequency rather than isolated incidents, with resolution turning on verifiable public statements meeting the defined criteria for personal or professional attacks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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