Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X throughout mid-May has solidified trader expectations around the 65-89 tweet range for the May 16-18 window. Frequent replies to breaking news, platform feature updates, and cultural debates have driven consistent volume, with recent activity on topics like Grok capabilities and public controversies accelerating the count. Historical patterns show Musk often sustains 20-plus daily posts during active periods, making this band the clear frontrunner at an 87% implied probability. The market's tight clustering around these figures reflects traders' assessment of his typical engagement rhythm, with minimal upside risk for outlier spikes unless major events intervene before the period closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets May 16 - May 18, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets May 16 - May 18, 2026?
65-89 88%
40-64 7%
90-114 4.3%
115-139 <1%
$1,077,915 Vol.
$1,077,915 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
7%
65-89
88%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 88%
40-64 7%
90-114 4.3%
115-139 <1%
$1,077,915 Vol.
$1,077,915 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
$345,987 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$148,966 Vol.
7%
65-89
$117,352 Vol.
88%
90-114
$163,142 Vol.
4%
115-139
$115,389 Vol.
1%
140-164
$66,406 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$19,735 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X throughout mid-May has solidified trader expectations around the 65-89 tweet range for the May 16-18 window. Frequent replies to breaking news, platform feature updates, and cultural debates have driven consistent volume, with recent activity on topics like Grok capabilities and public controversies accelerating the count. Historical patterns show Musk often sustains 20-plus daily posts during active periods, making this band the clear frontrunner at an 87% implied probability. The market's tight clustering around these figures reflects traders' assessment of his typical engagement rhythm, with minimal upside risk for outlier spikes unless major events intervene before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,077,915Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X throughout mid-May has solidified trader expectations around the 65-89 tweet range for the May 16-18 window. Frequent replies to breaking news, platform feature updates, and cultural debates have driven consistent volume, with recent activity on topics like Grok capabilities and public controversies accelerating the count. Historical patterns show Musk often sustains 20-plus daily posts during active periods, making this band the clear frontrunner at an 87% implied probability. The market's tight clustering around these figures reflects traders' assessment of his typical engagement rhythm, with minimal upside risk for outlier spikes unless major events intervene before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,077,915Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X throughout mid-May has solidified trader expectations around the 65-89 tweet range for the May 16-18 window. Frequent replies to breaking news, platform feature updates, and cultural debates have driven consistent volume, with recent activity on topics like Grok capabilities and public controversies accelerating the count. Historical patterns show Musk often sustains 20-plus daily posts during active periods, making this band the clear frontrunner at an 87% implied probability. The market's tight clustering around these figures reflects traders' assessment of his typical engagement rhythm, with minimal upside risk for outlier spikes unless major events intervene before the period closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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