Traders assign a 90.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the central bank has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting amid resilient economic data. Strong April job gains and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate, paired with March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, have kept inflation risks elevated due to geopolitical oil-price shocks. Brokerage forecasts from Bank of America and Goldman Sachs now project no cuts until mid-2027, aligning with CME FedWatch futures showing near-zero odds of near-term easing. A sudden sharp labor-market deterioration or major financial shock could still prompt an unscheduled move, though current conditions and forward guidance limit that likelihood.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$105,161 Vol.
$105,161 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$105,161 Vol.
$105,161 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 90.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the central bank has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting amid resilient economic data. Strong April job gains and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate, paired with March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, have kept inflation risks elevated due to geopolitical oil-price shocks. Brokerage forecasts from Bank of America and Goldman Sachs now project no cuts until mid-2027, aligning with CME FedWatch futures showing near-zero odds of near-term easing. A sudden sharp labor-market deterioration or major financial shock could still prompt an unscheduled move, though current conditions and forward guidance limit that likelihood.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$105,161Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 90.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the central bank has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting amid resilient economic data. Strong April job gains and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate, paired with March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, have kept inflation risks elevated due to geopolitical oil-price shocks. Brokerage forecasts from Bank of America and Goldman Sachs now project no cuts until mid-2027, aligning with CME FedWatch futures showing near-zero odds of near-term easing. A sudden sharp labor-market deterioration or major financial shock could still prompt an unscheduled move, though current conditions and forward guidance limit that likelihood.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$105,161Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 90.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the central bank has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting amid resilient economic data. Strong April job gains and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate, paired with March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, have kept inflation risks elevated due to geopolitical oil-price shocks. Brokerage forecasts from Bank of America and Goldman Sachs now project no cuts until mid-2027, aligning with CME FedWatch futures showing near-zero odds of near-term easing. A sudden sharp labor-market deterioration or major financial shock could still prompt an unscheduled move, though current conditions and forward guidance limit that likelihood.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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