Skip to main content
icon for In which month will SpaceX IPO?
Pananalapi·IPO

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

icon for In which month will SpaceX IPO?
Pananalapi·IPO

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

June 67%

August 21.8%

July 9.2%

No IPO before 2027 5.3%

Polymarket

$335,339 Vol.

June 67%

August 21.8%

July 9.2%

No IPO before 2027 5.3%

Polymarket

$335,339 Vol.

May

$61,405 Vol.

2%

June

$107,112 Vol.

67%

July

$18,188 Vol.

9%

August

$9,176 Vol.

22%

September

$9,732 Vol.

3%

October

$9,126 Vol.

<1%

November

$10,602 Vol.

1%

December

$5,909 Vol.

<1%

No IPO before 2027

$13,415 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX's June outcome commands a 68% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, and subsequent reporting of an early June roadshow followed by a mid-to-late month listing at a $1.75–$2 trillion valuation. This positioning stems from projected 2026 revenue of $22–$24 billion—driven by Starlink's subscriber growth and launch cadence—aligning with standard IPO timelines post-filing, including an imminent public prospectus expected May 15–22. August at 21.9% and July at 9.2% capture potential SEC review delays or market volatility, while "No IPO before 2027" at just 5.3% signals strong skin-in-the-game optimism amid recent Starship milestones boosting fundamentals, though lockup and liquidity rules remain key resolution risks.

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".

Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.

Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Volume
$335,339
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX's June outcome commands a 68% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, and subsequent reporting of an early June roadshow followed by a mid-to-late month listing at a $1.75–$2 trillion valuation. This positioning stems from projected 2026 revenue of $22–$24 billion—driven by Starlink's subscriber growth and launch cadence—aligning with standard IPO timelines post-filing, including an imminent public prospectus expected May 15–22. August at 21.9% and July at 9.2% capture potential SEC review delays or market volatility, while "No IPO before 2027" at just 5.3% signals strong skin-in-the-game optimism amid recent Starship milestones boosting fundamentals, though lockup and liquidity rules remain key resolution risks.

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".

Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.

Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Volume
$335,339
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "In which month will SpaceX IPO?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "June" sa 67%, sinusundan ng "August" sa 22%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 67¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 67% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "In which month will SpaceX IPO?" ay naka-generate ng $335.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 9, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "In which month will SpaceX IPO?," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "In which month will SpaceX IPO?" ay "June" sa 67%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 67% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "August" sa 22%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "In which month will SpaceX IPO?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.