EagleRock Land's NYSE debut as EROK drove trader consensus to 100% implied probability for a $2.5B–$3.0B closing market cap, fueled by its IPO pricing at the $17–$20 midpoint of $18.50 per share for 17.3 million Class A shares, raising $320 million, followed by a 24% first-day surge to around $23 that valued the Permian Basin land and royalty manager at approximately $3 billion fully diluted. Strong demand reflects investor appetite for energy infrastructure amid sustained oil production growth in the Permian, with the company's 236,000 net surface acres and water rights providing stable royalty streams. The offering closes May 15, barring customary over-allotment; a sharp late selloff from profit-taking or broader market weakness could trim shares below $2.5 billion threshold, though robust institutional backing minimizes this risk.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateEagleRock IPO Closing Market Cap
EagleRock IPO Closing Market Cap
$2.5B–$3.0B 100.0%
<$2.0B <1%
$2.0B–$2.5B <1%
$3.0B–$3.5B <1%
$24,865 Vol.
$24,865 Vol.
<$2.0B
No
$2.0B–$2.5B
No
$2.5B–$3.0B
Yes
$3.0B–$3.5B
No
$3.5B+
No
No IPO before July 2026
No
$2.5B–$3.0B 100.0%
<$2.0B <1%
$2.0B–$2.5B <1%
$3.0B–$3.5B <1%
$24,865 Vol.
$24,865 Vol.
<$2.0B
No
$2.0B–$2.5B
No
$2.5B–$3.0B
Yes
$3.0B–$3.5B
No
$3.5B+
No
No IPO before July 2026
No
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: May 10, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
EagleRock Land's NYSE debut as EROK drove trader consensus to 100% implied probability for a $2.5B–$3.0B closing market cap, fueled by its IPO pricing at the $17–$20 midpoint of $18.50 per share for 17.3 million Class A shares, raising $320 million, followed by a 24% first-day surge to around $23 that valued the Permian Basin land and royalty manager at approximately $3 billion fully diluted. Strong demand reflects investor appetite for energy infrastructure amid sustained oil production growth in the Permian, with the company's 236,000 net surface acres and water rights providing stable royalty streams. The offering closes May 15, barring customary over-allotment; a sharp late selloff from profit-taking or broader market weakness could trim shares below $2.5 billion threshold, though robust institutional backing minimizes this risk.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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