Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.8% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization momentum amid unresolved recapitalization hurdles, including Treasury's senior preferred stock treatment and capital adequacy requirements. FHFA Director Bill Pulte's May 6 confirmation that timing rests solely with President Trump, targeting a Q2 partial offering to exit 18-year conservatorship, has yet to yield firm action, echoing KBW's April 20 assessment of a narrowing window before November midterms. Freddie Mac's robust Q1 2026 net income of $3.6 billion (up 27% year-over-year) bolsters long-term viability but underscores procedural complexities. A surprise executive directive or S-1 filing could challenge this positioning, though the 45-day deadline limits feasibility.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFreddie Mac IPO Closing Market Cap
Freddie Mac IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026 95.8%
150–200B 2.4%
300B+ <1%
<150B <1%
$200,626 Vol.
$200,626 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<150B
<1%
150–200B
2%
200–250B
<1%
250–300B
<1%
300B+
1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
96%
No IPO by June 30, 2026 95.8%
150–200B 2.4%
300B+ <1%
<150B <1%
$200,626 Vol.
$200,626 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<150B
$81,902 Vol.
<1%
150–200B
$32,450 Vol.
2%
200–250B
$20,034 Vol.
<1%
250–300B
$6,727 Vol.
<1%
300B+
$11,975 Vol.
1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$47,538 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.8% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization momentum amid unresolved recapitalization hurdles, including Treasury's senior preferred stock treatment and capital adequacy requirements. FHFA Director Bill Pulte's May 6 confirmation that timing rests solely with President Trump, targeting a Q2 partial offering to exit 18-year conservatorship, has yet to yield firm action, echoing KBW's April 20 assessment of a narrowing window before November midterms. Freddie Mac's robust Q1 2026 net income of $3.6 billion (up 27% year-over-year) bolsters long-term viability but underscores procedural complexities. A surprise executive directive or S-1 filing could challenge this positioning, though the 45-day deadline limits feasibility.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$200,626Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.8% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization momentum amid unresolved recapitalization hurdles, including Treasury's senior preferred stock treatment and capital adequacy requirements. FHFA Director Bill Pulte's May 6 confirmation that timing rests solely with President Trump, targeting a Q2 partial offering to exit 18-year conservatorship, has yet to yield firm action, echoing KBW's April 20 assessment of a narrowing window before November midterms. Freddie Mac's robust Q1 2026 net income of $3.6 billion (up 27% year-over-year) bolsters long-term viability but underscores procedural complexities. A surprise executive directive or S-1 filing could challenge this positioning, though the 45-day deadline limits feasibility.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$200,626Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.8% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization momentum amid unresolved recapitalization hurdles, including Treasury's senior preferred stock treatment and capital adequacy requirements. FHFA Director Bill Pulte's May 6 confirmation that timing rests solely with President Trump, targeting a Q2 partial offering to exit 18-year conservatorship, has yet to yield firm action, echoing KBW's April 20 assessment of a narrowing window before November midterms. Freddie Mac's robust Q1 2026 net income of $3.6 billion (up 27% year-over-year) bolsters long-term viability but underscores procedural complexities. A surprise executive directive or S-1 filing could challenge this positioning, though the 45-day deadline limits feasibility.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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