Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing four months after January's confidential submission and a missed March debut window originally targeted with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. Secondary market pricing has compressed Discord's valuation to approximately $9 billion as of mid-May—down from a $15 billion 2021 peak—amid lagging monetization from its 200 million+ monthly active users, reliance on Nitro subscriptions generating an estimated $800-900 million in annual recurring revenue, and challenges pivoting to enterprise competition with Slack and Microsoft Teams in a subdued SaaS multiple environment. The <15 billion market cap outcome at 15.2% leads conditional pricing, signaling trader expectations of a subdued debut if it occurs, with higher brackets dismissed due to soft fundamentals; a late S-1 release remains a key watchpoint ahead of the deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
Walang IPO bago Hunyo 30, 2026 77%
<15B 15.2%
15–20B 7.0%
25–30B 5.7%
$888,774 Vol.
$888,774 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<15B
15%
15–20B
7%
20–25B
1%
25–30B
7%
30B+
1%
Walang IPO bago Hunyo 30, 2026
77%
Walang IPO bago Hunyo 30, 2026 77%
<15B 15.2%
15–20B 7.0%
25–30B 5.7%
$888,774 Vol.
$888,774 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<15B
$298,371 Vol.
15%
15–20B
$109,394 Vol.
7%
20–25B
$74,392 Vol.
1%
25–30B
$112,896 Vol.
7%
30B+
$100,250 Vol.
1%
Walang IPO bago Hunyo 30, 2026
$193,471 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing four months after January's confidential submission and a missed March debut window originally targeted with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. Secondary market pricing has compressed Discord's valuation to approximately $9 billion as of mid-May—down from a $15 billion 2021 peak—amid lagging monetization from its 200 million+ monthly active users, reliance on Nitro subscriptions generating an estimated $800-900 million in annual recurring revenue, and challenges pivoting to enterprise competition with Slack and Microsoft Teams in a subdued SaaS multiple environment. The <15 billion market cap outcome at 15.2% leads conditional pricing, signaling trader expectations of a subdued debut if it occurs, with higher brackets dismissed due to soft fundamentals; a late S-1 release remains a key watchpoint ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$888,774Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing four months after January's confidential submission and a missed March debut window originally targeted with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. Secondary market pricing has compressed Discord's valuation to approximately $9 billion as of mid-May—down from a $15 billion 2021 peak—amid lagging monetization from its 200 million+ monthly active users, reliance on Nitro subscriptions generating an estimated $800-900 million in annual recurring revenue, and challenges pivoting to enterprise competition with Slack and Microsoft Teams in a subdued SaaS multiple environment. The <15 billion market cap outcome at 15.2% leads conditional pricing, signaling trader expectations of a subdued debut if it occurs, with higher brackets dismissed due to soft fundamentals; a late S-1 release remains a key watchpoint ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$888,774Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing four months after January's confidential submission and a missed March debut window originally targeted with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. Secondary market pricing has compressed Discord's valuation to approximately $9 billion as of mid-May—down from a $15 billion 2021 peak—amid lagging monetization from its 200 million+ monthly active users, reliance on Nitro subscriptions generating an estimated $800-900 million in annual recurring revenue, and challenges pivoting to enterprise competition with Slack and Microsoft Teams in a subdued SaaS multiple environment. The <15 billion market cap outcome at 15.2% leads conditional pricing, signaling trader expectations of a subdued debut if it occurs, with higher brackets dismissed due to soft fundamentals; a late S-1 release remains a key watchpoint ahead of the deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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