Recent model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international forecasts indicates southerly cold air advection and high pressure will limit Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on September 6 to around 9–10°C under clear skies, following a sharp drop from 17°C on September 4. Radiative cooling overnight and brisk winds enhance the chill, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region. Traders have priced 11°C as the modal outcome at 50% implied probability, likely reflecting minor model spread or localized urban effects, while lower probabilities on 12°C+ align with the strengthening cold front and absence of warmer return flow. Updated short-range guidance and official observations will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 6?
11°C 50%
10°C 30%
12°C 8%
9°C 8%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
8%
10°C
30%
11°C
50%
12°C
8%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 50%
10°C 30%
12°C 8%
9°C 8%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
8%
10°C
30%
11°C
50%
12°C
8%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international forecasts indicates southerly cold air advection and high pressure will limit Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on September 6 to around 9–10°C under clear skies, following a sharp drop from 17°C on September 4. Radiative cooling overnight and brisk winds enhance the chill, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region. Traders have priced 11°C as the modal outcome at 50% implied probability, likely reflecting minor model spread or localized urban effects, while lower probabilities on 12°C+ align with the strengthening cold front and absence of warmer return flow. Updated short-range guidance and official observations will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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