Current forecasts for Jinan on August 18 project daytime highs near 32–33°C under typical late-summer conditions, well above the 26°C threshold that carries 99.5% market-implied odds. Multiple models and agencies, including recent BBC and Met Office guidance, show continued warm, mostly sunny patterns consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 30–32°C and extremes often exceed 35°C. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure influence and seasonal solar heating rather than any unusual heat wave. A rapid, unforecast cold front or measurement anomaly at the official station could theoretically shift the outcome, yet such shifts remain rare this late in the warm season and would require substantial model revisions before the market resolves.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jinan on August 18?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 18?
26°C or higher 99.4%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
17°C <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
17°C <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
16°C or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$100 Vol.
1%
20°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$624 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Jinan on August 18 project daytime highs near 32–33°C under typical late-summer conditions, well above the 26°C threshold that carries 99.5% market-implied odds. Multiple models and agencies, including recent BBC and Met Office guidance, show continued warm, mostly sunny patterns consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 30–32°C and extremes often exceed 35°C. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure influence and seasonal solar heating rather than any unusual heat wave. A rapid, unforecast cold front or measurement anomaly at the official station could theoretically shift the outcome, yet such shifts remain rare this late in the warm season and would require substantial model revisions before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,447Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Jinan on August 18 project daytime highs near 32–33°C under typical late-summer conditions, well above the 26°C threshold that carries 99.5% market-implied odds. Multiple models and agencies, including recent BBC and Met Office guidance, show continued warm, mostly sunny patterns consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 30–32°C and extremes often exceed 35°C. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure influence and seasonal solar heating rather than any unusual heat wave. A rapid, unforecast cold front or measurement anomaly at the official station could theoretically shift the outcome, yet such shifts remain rare this late in the warm season and would require substantial model revisions before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,447Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Jinan on August 18 project daytime highs near 32–33°C under typical late-summer conditions, well above the 26°C threshold that carries 99.5% market-implied odds. Multiple models and agencies, including recent BBC and Met Office guidance, show continued warm, mostly sunny patterns consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 30–32°C and extremes often exceed 35°C. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure influence and seasonal solar heating rather than any unusual heat wave. A rapid, unforecast cold front or measurement anomaly at the official station could theoretically shift the outcome, yet such shifts remain rare this late in the warm season and would require substantial model revisions before the market resolves.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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