Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional services currently converge on a daily maximum of 15–17°C for Moscow on August 13, 2026, with 16°C emerging as the mode. This reflects a cooler-than-climatological air mass, modest northwesterly flow, and possible light precipitation that limits daytime heating. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context for the downward shift, while ensemble spreads remain narrow enough to favor outcomes clustered around the market’s leading probabilities of 16°C (52%), 15°C (26.5%), and 17°C (16.5%). Official verification will rely on Russian Hydrometeorological Service observations, with any late-model adjustments or unexpected clearing potentially altering the exact peak within the narrow 14–18°C window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
16°C 52%
15°C 27%
17°C 17%
14°C 6%
$19,766 Vol.
$19,766 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
27%
16°C
52%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 52%
15°C 27%
17°C 17%
14°C 6%
$19,766 Vol.
$19,766 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
27%
16°C
52%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional services currently converge on a daily maximum of 15–17°C for Moscow on August 13, 2026, with 16°C emerging as the mode. This reflects a cooler-than-climatological air mass, modest northwesterly flow, and possible light precipitation that limits daytime heating. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context for the downward shift, while ensemble spreads remain narrow enough to favor outcomes clustered around the market’s leading probabilities of 16°C (52%), 15°C (26.5%), and 17°C (16.5%). Official verification will rely on Russian Hydrometeorological Service observations, with any late-model adjustments or unexpected clearing potentially altering the exact peak within the narrow 14–18°C window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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