Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow supporting a peak temperature near 93–94°F in Central Park on July 16, placing the closely matched 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets at the top of trader probabilities. Coastal sea-breeze timing and afternoon marine-layer depth introduce the main uncertainty, potentially trimming 2–4°F from inland readings if onshore flow strengthens earlier than expected. Recent post-heat-wave subsidence has kept 850 hPa temperatures elevated while limiting widespread convection, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading outcomes and lower odds on 96°F-plus or sub-90°F scenarios. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on July 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 16?
92-93°F 35%
94-95°F 33%
90-91°F 17%
96-97°F 16%
BAGO
BAGO
Jul 16, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 35%
94-95°F 33%
90-91°F 17%
96-97°F 16%
BAGO
BAGO
Jul 16, 2026
87°F or below
$40 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$15 Vol.
6%
90-91°F
$228 Vol.
17%
92-93°F
$106 Vol.
30%
94-95°F
$36 Vol.
33%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
16%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
10%
100-101°F
$16 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$283 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
1%
106°F or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow supporting a peak temperature near 93–94°F in Central Park on July 16, placing the closely matched 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets at the top of trader probabilities. Coastal sea-breeze timing and afternoon marine-layer depth introduce the main uncertainty, potentially trimming 2–4°F from inland readings if onshore flow strengthens earlier than expected. Recent post-heat-wave subsidence has kept 850 hPa temperatures elevated while limiting widespread convection, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading outcomes and lower odds on 96°F-plus or sub-90°F scenarios. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$724Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow supporting a peak temperature near 93–94°F in Central Park on July 16, placing the closely matched 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets at the top of trader probabilities. Coastal sea-breeze timing and afternoon marine-layer depth introduce the main uncertainty, potentially trimming 2–4°F from inland readings if onshore flow strengthens earlier than expected. Recent post-heat-wave subsidence has kept 850 hPa temperatures elevated while limiting widespread convection, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading outcomes and lower odds on 96°F-plus or sub-90°F scenarios. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$724Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow supporting a peak temperature near 93–94°F in Central Park on July 16, placing the closely matched 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets at the top of trader probabilities. Coastal sea-breeze timing and afternoon marine-layer depth introduce the main uncertainty, potentially trimming 2–4°F from inland readings if onshore flow strengthens earlier than expected. Recent post-heat-wave subsidence has kept 850 hPa temperatures elevated while limiting widespread convection, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading outcomes and lower odds on 96°F-plus or sub-90°F scenarios. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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