Official meteorological stations in Sao Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on June 9, establishing the outcome that now carries a 100% market-implied probability. This reading reflects standard winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where subtropical high pressure and reduced solar insolation typically limit highs to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. No anomalous warm-air advection or urban heat-island effects pushed readings higher, and model consensus from regional forecasts aligned closely with the eventual observation. While final quality-controlled data from Brazil’s national weather service could theoretically be revised, historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban stations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 9?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$52,661 Vol.
$52,661 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$52,661 Vol.
$52,661 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Official meteorological stations in Sao Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on June 9, establishing the outcome that now carries a 100% market-implied probability. This reading reflects standard winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where subtropical high pressure and reduced solar insolation typically limit highs to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. No anomalous warm-air advection or urban heat-island effects pushed readings higher, and model consensus from regional forecasts aligned closely with the eventual observation. While final quality-controlled data from Brazil’s national weather service could theoretically be revised, historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban stations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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