Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on June 12?
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$141,070 Vol.
$141,070 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$141,070 Vol.
$141,070 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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