Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover over Beijing on June 16, which is expected to limit daytime solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, anchoring trader sentiment toward a maximum temperature of 26–28°C. Ensemble spreads arise primarily from uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity, with lighter or later storms favoring 28°C and more persistent coverage supporting 26–27°C. This setup contrasts with the climatological June mean near 30°C and explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as modest shifts in steering patterns or moisture advection could still alter outcomes before official China Meteorological Administration verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on June 16?
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 20%
25°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
20%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 20%
25°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
20%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover over Beijing on June 16, which is expected to limit daytime solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, anchoring trader sentiment toward a maximum temperature of 26–28°C. Ensemble spreads arise primarily from uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity, with lighter or later storms favoring 28°C and more persistent coverage supporting 26–27°C. This setup contrasts with the climatological June mean near 30°C and explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as modest shifts in steering patterns or moisture advection could still alter outcomes before official China Meteorological Administration verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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