National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on June 9?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$127,831 Vol.
$127,831 Vol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$127,831 Vol.
$127,831 Vol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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