Recent weather models and ongoing humid subtropical conditions in Guangdong province drive the broad distribution around 30–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen's July 17 maximum. Typical July highs average near 32°C under strong solar insolation and urban heat effects, yet scattered afternoon convection or light rain—evident in current forecasts showing 70%+ humidity and possible thunderstorms—can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C. Limited typhoon influence and stable steering patterns add modest upside potential for 33°C+, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions below 29°C or above 34°C this time of year. Updated numerical guidance and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 17?
31°C 37%
32°C 22%
30°C 20%
29°C 18%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
11%
29°C
18%
30°C
20%
31°C
37%
32°C
22%
33°C
15%
34°C
12%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
32°C 22%
30°C 20%
29°C 18%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
11%
29°C
18%
30°C
20%
31°C
37%
32°C
22%
33°C
15%
34°C
12%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models and ongoing humid subtropical conditions in Guangdong province drive the broad distribution around 30–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen's July 17 maximum. Typical July highs average near 32°C under strong solar insolation and urban heat effects, yet scattered afternoon convection or light rain—evident in current forecasts showing 70%+ humidity and possible thunderstorms—can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C. Limited typhoon influence and stable steering patterns add modest upside potential for 33°C+, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions below 29°C or above 34°C this time of year. Updated numerical guidance and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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